After our chunky episode last week picking our Fantasy Premier League teams, we are back to our analytical roots this week!
 
In Episode 9, we unpick the commentary cliché of ‘a good time to score’. Is there ever a bad time to score? How important is scoring first in a match? Is there any truth in a two-goal lead being a ‘dangerous scoreline’?
 
We discuss the numbers behind the likelihood of winning a match, the role of home advantage, and look to debunk some myths along the way!
 
The Football Fanalytics Pod League code: kmrhze
 
Bio Links:
 
Scoring First Table - https://www.thestatsdontlie.com/football/uk-ireland/england/premier-league-1920/;
 
Soccer Stats - https://www.soccerstats.com/table.asp?league=england&tid=j;
 
2 - 0 Myth - https://www.skysports.com/football/news/11096/10951284/sky-sports-bust-common-myths-is-2-0-the-worst-lead;
 
Scoring before Half Time - https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0194255&type=printable;
 
Rory Smith Article - https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/01/sports/soccer/soccer-without-fans-germany-data.html;
 
Barca Innovation Hub - https://barcainnovationhub.com/examining-the-effect-of-scoring-first-in-the-outcome-of-a-football-match/