Discover this podcast and so much more

Podcasts are free to enjoy without a subscription. We also offer ebooks, audiobooks, and so much more for just $11.99/month.

The Archegos Saga

The Archegos Saga

FromThe Curiosity Chronicle


The Archegos Saga

FromThe Curiosity Chronicle

ratings:
Length:
6 minutes
Released:
Apr 13, 2021
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

The story of the last few weeks in finance has been the secretive rise and rapid downfall of Archegos Capital Management.A thread on the underlying mechanics of the Archegos saga and how a $20 billion fortune vanished into thin air... First, let’s set the stage.Archegos Capital Management is the family office of Bill Hwang, a former prodigy of hedge fund legend Julian Robertson.Hwang previously built Tiger Asia Management - a so-called “Tiger Cub” fund due to its lineage from Robertson’s Tiger Management.Bill Hwang grew Tiger Asia Management into a highly successful hedge fund, reaching ~$10 billion in assets under management in the 2000s.He was a bit of an anomaly in the world of high finance - known as a devout Christian with simple tastes (seriously, he drives a Hyundai!).After winding down Tiger Asia Management following a few bad bets and a run-in with regulators, Hwang opened Archegos (a Greek word for “one who leads the way”) in 2013 with ~$200 million in personal capital.He began doing what he does best - trading and investing.Going long innovation, he scored big wins on stocks like Netflix and Amazon.Soon, Archegos’ capital had grown to $4 billion.But Hwang, a private and deeply religious man, was not one for the spotlight. He just appears to have genuinely enjoyed his work.Fortunately, there were features of the strategy that allowed the firm to remain anonymous.As a family office, it was not required to disclose its holdings on a 13F filing (as with all hedge funds).It used swap contracts to quietly amass large, leveraged positions.The 13F loophole is self-explanatory: Archegos was a family office with a specific structure, so it did not have to file quarterly 13Fs disclosing its holdings.Swap contracts (“swaps”) are a bit more complicated. Let’s simplify them here for everyone to understand...In simple terms, a swap contract is an agreement between two parties to exchange (swap!) the values or cash flows of one asset for another.Archegos entered swap contracts with banks to gain exposure to stocks without holding them.This is not an uncommon practice for funds.My banker buys $100 of Apple on my behalf but holds it on the bank B/S.I post $20 as “margin” (see my primer on margin) and agree to pay interest on the borrowed money ($80).I “own” $100 of Apple, but only had to put up $20 and no one knows I own it.At the end of every day, we settle up on the account.If the value of the Apple stock in my account rises, my banker pays me in cash the value of that rise.If the value of the Apple stock in my account falls, I have to post additional margin (to make my banker feel safe!).Note: I am definitely simplifying the mechanics of a swap contract for illustrative purposes. There are many types and flavors of swaps, but most follow the basic structure laid out above.Back to Archegos...Bill Hwang used swaps to amass large long positions (again, not an uncommon practice for hedge funds!).He built positions in stocks like ViacomCBS, Baidu, and GSX.He had accounts with many banks, including Goldman, Morgan Stanley, and Credit Suisse.As the stocks rose rapidly in early 2021, he used the cash his swap contracts were paying him to enter new swaps, increase his leverage, and buy even more.It was a self-fulfilling prophecy: rising prices enabled more leverage and more buying, further accelerating the rise.At its peak, Archegos had built a ~$100 billion portfolio and Bill Hwang was worth ~$30 billion.Importantly, as the positions were held at banks and not disclosed on 13F filings, the extent of the positions and leverage was largely unknown.But then it all came crashing down.On March 22, ViacomCBS, which had seen its stock 3x in the prior months (perhaps from Archegos’ aggressive buying) announced a $3 billion stock sale.Its share price tumbled 30% in the two days that followed the announcement.Suddenly, Archegos’ levered bets were underwater.This meant that the value of the stock being held on the bank balance sheets was lower tha
Released:
Apr 13, 2021
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Delivering curiosity-inducing content every single week. This is the audio version of my newsletter. Sign up at the bottom of the page!