Expect higher inflation, dollar devaluation, and higher gold price in 2021

FromKitco NEWS Interviews

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Expect higher inflation, dollar devaluation, and higher gold price in 2021

FromKitco NEWS Interviews

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Length:

18 minutes

Released:

Dec 22, 2020

Format:

Podcast episode

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Commodities, including gold, have been seeing initial signs of a long-term bull supercycle, said Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University.

Released:

Dec 22, 2020

Format:

Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Listen to a reprise of Kitco's interviews with top newsmakers.

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Gold price fell after last election, can it happen this time?: Presidential election uncertainty is going to continue to impact all markets, including gold, said David Erfle of JunioMinerJunky.com. Here's all the risks to look out for. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
10 min listen
Raoul Pal on why emerging markets will dominate in the next 5 years (Pt. 1/2): If Raoul Pal, CEO of Real Vision, had to choose one place to make a 5-year investment, it would be in emerging markets. “Very simple asset allocation. I’d buy bonds in case this economic growth doesn’t appear because the virus goes on longer, the vaccine takes longer to roll out, and we’ve seen shut downs in Europe and I think we’re going to get them in the U.S.. So buy bonds and buy emerging markets,” Pal told Kitco News. “If growth comes back, you’ll make a huge amount of money in emerging markets.” by Kitco NEWS Interviews
18 min listen
Peter Hug breaks down the ideal allocation into gold and silver: What is the short-term trend for gold? Is the long-term outlook still positive? How much, if any, of the metals should be in your portfolio now? Peter Hug, global trading director, answers these questions. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
15 min listen
Fed's impact on inflation: what investors got wrong - Steve Hanke: One of the main lessons from the last financial recession of 2008 is that the U.S. economy did not see double-digit inflation rates when quantitative easing was launched, said Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics of Johns Hopkins University. "All the gold bugs in the world said that the Fed was exploding its balance sheet, the narrow measure of money was going up very fast, we're going to have hyperinflation. No, we didn't have hyperinflation because the Fed is a very small part of the broad money picture, and broad money never grew very fast, it never grew more than about 5% per annum," Hanke told Kitco News. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
19 min listen
Scarcity is working in favor of the gold sector: Not only are macroeconomic conditions still positive for gold, but the scarcity of supply also runs in the metal’s favor, according to Rahul Paul, president of Radisson Mining Resources (TSXV: RDS.V). by Kitco NEWS Interviews
12 min listen
Gold price plummets $100, can it go lower? Pfizer, travel stocks soar, Zoom tanks: Gold price dropped $100, or 4.5% on Monday as Pfizer announced that its COVID-19 vaccine is 90% effective. The S&P 500 climbed 2.9%, the Dow is up 3.8%, and the NASDAQ is up only 1%, dragged down by companies that benefit from the work from home culture, like Zoom (-12%) and Netflix (-4%). Peter Hug, global trading director of Kitco Metals, said that these moves factor in expectations that are a bit ‘premature’. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
16 min listen
Gold price to fall to $1,000 before strongest boom in history – Harry Dent (Pt. 2/2): From 2022 on, I’d be buying gold hand hand in fist, it’s going to hold up better than most commodities,” said Harry Dent, founder of HS Dent, who is calling for gold to see its final rally to $2,200 an ounce next year before falling to multi-year lows until 2022. "I’m expecting gold to go up…when this crisis starts to build next year, it’s going to see more stimulus, it’s going to go up at first. I have a target of $2,200,” Dent said. “$2,200 is the strong resistance in the coming months and then crash back down to its 2015 lows, around $1,000.” by Kitco NEWS Interviews
14 min listen
Don't ignore possibility of $1,000 gold price says Lobo Tiggre: Even though a bear case for gold is unlikely to happen, investors should not be sailing with their eyes closed and ignore the possibility of a pivot in fiscal and monetary policies, which would drag gold prices down, said Lobo Tiggre of the Independent Speculator. “It’s not something that keeps me up at night. It is something worth thinking about,” Tiggre said. “Here’s the scary thing, [gold] could go quite low. If you look at the big correction in the middle of the 1970s bull market, that was on the order of 50%.” by Kitco NEWS Interviews
22 min listen
Gold goes higher because more stimulus must come - Hug: The stimulus will happen no matter who wins and that is good for metals and gold, said Peter Hug, Kitco’s head of the precious metal division. Hug spoke to Kitco News Thursday as Republican and Democrat leadership continued negotiating a COVID-19 stimulus package in excess of $2 trillion. Some Republican senators are holding out, but Hug said a deal will happen because there is too much pressure from businesses and the states. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
9 min listen
Economy to shut down again this winter says Lobo Tiggre, investor who called gold price drop: "If Biden is sworn in, he'll shut the economy down this winter more than Trump would have. USD goes under the bus, stagflation is likely. They'll blame COVID-19, but for once, socialism might also get some of the blame for the trouble it causes..." said Lobo Tiggre of the Independent Speculator in a Tweet made last week. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
20 min listen
Pfizer, Moderna vaccines: Will they work? When is delivery? McGill scientist answers: Both the vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna are categorized as messenger RNA vaccines, and the technology behind this is relatively new, said Dr. Joe Schwarcz, director of the Office for Science and Society at McGill University. Schwarcz outlines the process by which Pfizer and Moderna conducted their vaccine trials, and explains why vaccines are very low-risk. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
23 min listen
Is the pain over yet for gold? Alain Corbani gives forecast: Gold has broken a critical support level, but there is not much downside left, said Alain Corbani, portfolio manager of Finance SA, who forecasts $2,500 an ounce for gold's upside target. The metal will be caught between conflicting macroeconomic forces next year: slightly higher negative real interest rates, but a weakening U.S. dollar. While gold has a negative correlation with negative real rates, ultimately, the dollar will prevail as the dominant driver of gold during this current phase of the commodity cycle. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
22 min listen
Investors should expect divided government, no tax increase, and stimulus delay: With the Republicans set to take the Senate and the Democrats already having the House, Matt Gertken, vice president of Geopolitical Strategy of BCA Research anticipates a divided government that is likely to result in no tax increases but potentially smaller, and delayed fiscal stimulus. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
16 min listen
WallStreetBets founder Jaime Rogozinski on why he created it: Jaime Rogozinski founded WallStreetBets to create a forum for young traders to share trading ideas, especially those of higher risk. Today, it is the largest subreddit on trading, and one of the most popular online communities for young traders. Rogozinski shares his favorite trading anecdotes from the forum. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
26 min listen
E.B. Tucker: $2,500 gold price target and how to fight 'war on wealth' during Biden presidency: With odds now stacked heavily in Joe Biden’s favor, it’s now looking more likely that the next four years will see a Democratic president in the White House. E.B. Tucker, director of Metalla Royalty and “Why Gold? Why Now? The War Against Your Wealth and How to Win It” said that gold and gold royalty stocks still remain the ultimate weapons against the “war against wealth.” Tucker said that bigger government, more government intervention, and low interest rates are all likely to persist during a Biden Administration, creating tailwinds for gold. Tucker maintains $2,500 an ounce by the end of the year as his gold price target. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
20 min listen
Jim Rogers: Markets are not in a bubble yet, opportunities lie here: There’s simply too much money injected into the monetary system by central banks to allow a sizeable bear market to take place soon, said Jim Rogers, investor and chairman of Rogers Holdings. “Many stocks in the U.S. are down in 2020. There are a few stocks that are going through the roof every day. Some parts of the U.S. market are developing a beginning of a bubble, but many parts of the markets are not, that’s why I suspect [this rally] is going to go on for a while,” Rogers said. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
18 min listen
A 'sober' 2021 gold price target; say goodbye to 'phenomenal' drivers - HSBC's Jim Steel: 2020 has seen a “phenomenal” inflow of gold-backed exchange-traded funds, fueling an investment-led rally, but while ETF inflows are still expected to be strong, 2020’s level of inflows would be hard to keep up. Jim Steel, chief precious metals analyst at HSBC, said that gold will average a price of $1,965 an ounce in 2021, owing to competing macroeconomic forces; accommodative monetary policy will continue to provide tailwinds, but an unwinding of geopolitical risk from a Biden Administration will ease the appetite for gold. “Gold is sensitive to geopolitical risk,” he said. “If we’re going to get some rapprochement on the trade issues between the United States and the other countries, and it’s not just one country, it could be from several, and we also get a charm offensive from the Biden Administration to U.S. allies or to others, and the geopolitical risks come down and there’s progress made by Kitco NEWS Interviews
24 min listen
Can gold continue its bounce back? Here is Peter Hug’s year-end target: Gold has bounced back from its support level of the low $1,800s, and is on track to touch $1,920 by Christmas time, said Peter Hug, global trading director of Kitco News. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
12 min listen
Don't expect 'Santa Claus' rally into the New Year - Gareth Soloway: As the economy recovers, consumers are likely to rotate spending out of retail items and into other, bigger discretionary purchases, like vacations, said Gareth Soloway, chief market strategist at InTheMoney Stocks. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
23 min listen
Thomas Kaplan sees NOVAGOLD as the Holy Grail in mining: Silver may be Thomas Kaplan's first love as he sees the potential for the precious metal to eventually push to $100 dollars; however, he is also not giving up on gold as he sees the yellow metal in the third-wave of a secular bull market that will take it "way past new highs." He noted that gold was in a strong uptrend well before the COVID-19 pandemic devastated the global economy. "All the pandemic has served to do is to make people now understand that the question of money and what is money when clearly it can be printed at will, he said. "The debasement of currencies is obviously very, very bullish for gold.” by Kitco NEWS Interviews
12 min listen
Rick Rule: Top investing mistakes, new wave of gold bugs emerging: Gold investors are prone to making common mistakes that can be detrimental to a portfolio, including excessive diversification, picking companies that don’t adhere to an investment objective, and not sticking with management teams with proven track records, said Rick Rule, president of Sprott U.S. “If I had just hung out with the Ross Beatys, the Bob Quartermains, the Robert Friedlands, the Lukas Lundins, all of them I’ve done business with, by the time I was 35 and not bothered with the rest of the universe, I would have worked less hard and made more money,” Rule said. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
18 min listen
"I would be surprised if we don’t sell off" - Gareth Soloway shorts stock market by Kitco NEWS Interviews
23 min listen
Why Kevin O’Leary is investing in education, watches, and psychedelics (Pt. 2/2): America is facing a generational crisis where younger people have no wealth built up and lack the financial literacy to do so, said Kevin O’Leary, star of Shark Tank and chairman of O'Shares ETFs. “In America today, there’s 100 million people that have nothing set aside for retirement,” O’Leary said. “That is a failure of financial literacy that started as far back as the 1970s.” by Kitco NEWS Interviews
23 min listen
These are the dominant forces behind gold in 2021: Sustained low interest rates, coupled with large levels of debt and an eventual return to inflation will be the dominant drivers of gold in 2021, said Kevin Rich, consultant to the Perth Mint. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
18 min listen
Expect higher inflation, dollar devaluation, and higher gold price in 2021: Commodities, including gold, have been seeing initial signs of a long-term bull supercycle, said Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
18 min listen
Bitcoin price to retest $15,000 says Alex Mashinsky who called all-time highs in 2020: Bitcoin may have hit new all-time highs, but not enough momentum is here to sustain this rally, and a pullback towards $15,000 to $16,000 may happen before the price climbs higher still, said Alex Mashinsky, CEO of Celsius Network. Mashinsky has correctly predicted that bitcoin would breach the 2017 highs this year, which it did earlier this week. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
19 min listen
This will be the trigger for the biggest stock market crash in our lifetime, says Harry Dent (Pt. 1/2): The cyclical bull market for equities is over; after December, stocks will begin a secular multi-year decline, starting with a 40% correction by April, said Harry Dent, founder of HS Dent. "If we see another new low in the stock market, I predict we are not going to see new highs on the Dow, S&P, NASDAQ, biotech, you pick anything...you're not going to see new highs on anything for decades," Dent said. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
22 min listen
$100k bitcoin next year: why 2021 will shatter all records - OKCoin CEO: Bitcoin is becoming 'digital gold' and there is a case to be made for the recent price surge to continue to $100,000 by 2021, says Hong Fang, CEO of OKCoin, one of the largest crypto exchanges in the world. Fang argues that should bitcoin catch up to even 25% of gold's global market capitalization of $9 trillion, that figure would amount to a price range for BTC of $80,000 to $100,000. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
20 min listen
How severe are COVID, Brexit impacts on gold bullion supply?: With lockdowns resuming in Europe, concerns rise that London, a major vaulting center, will face logistical challenges in transporting and servicing gold and silver bullion, similar to what happened in March that led to shortages of the physical precious metals markets. Ruth Crowell, chief executive of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), said that vaults and service providers are more prepared this time around. “This is something we talk about in terms of potential market disruptions, and part of our role in terms of being that point of contact for the infrastructure providers here in London is talking to the vaults and the carriers about how are you ready…for COVID challenges as well as Brexit challenges. I think the overwhelming response is that they’re very prepared,” Crowell said. “And in some ways having had the challenges of the pandemic in March and April has made the market more resilient to those challenge by Kitco NEWS Interviews
20 min listen
How you should allocate between stocks, gold, and crypto - Frank Holmes: Another 40% move in gold in 2021 is "very doable" says Frank Holmes, who is looking for a range of $2,200 to $2,600 an ounce. Cryptocurrencies will continue to do well; Bitcoin will be driven by increased adoption, while Ethereum benefits from the latest developments in DeFi. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
17 min listen

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Which crypto can become the next Bitcoin? John Eagleton: John Eagleton, CEO of Intellabridge, discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News, the next protocol to gain critical mass adoption. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
23 min listen
Governments will soon have a tool to control how you spend your money - Grant McCarty: Grant McCarty, Policy Director of Bitcoin Magazine discusses the ramifications of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) on civil liberties with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
29 min listen
'It's a truly transformational asset for us' - Northern Graphite finds quick path to production: Last year Northern Graphite (CVE:NGC) leap frogged from a company holding an advanced asset to now being the biggest graphite producer in North America, said Gregory Bowes, CEO and director. Bowes spoke to Kitco on Tuesday. Graphite is enjoying an upswing due to energy transition. Graphite is the anode in a lithium ion battery and its single-largest component. On average, a plug-in EV has around 70 kg of graphite. With at least 125 million EVs expected globally by 2030, that’s more than 8 million tonnes of battery-ready graphite needed in the coming decade, according to Kitco commentator Richard Mills. In December 2021 Northern Graphite acquired two graphite mines from Imerys SA: the Lac des Iles producing graphite mine in Quebec and the Okankande/Okorusu graphite producing operation in Namibia. The $55 million financing was a mixture of debt, financing and royalty agreements led by Sp by Kitco NEWS Interviews
16 min listen
Acquirers need to pay fair value - Yamana's Marrone: Zero premium acquisitions are a thing of the past, according to Peter Marrone, executive chair of Yamana Gold (NYSE:AUY) who stressed acquirers need to pay fair value. Marrone spoke to Kitco correspondent Paul Harris at BMO's Global Metals & Mining Conference held in Florida last week. Yamana recognizes that it may potentially be a target following the acquisition of Kirkland Lake Mining by Agnico Eagle Mines, given it has a 1 million ounces a year production profile at an all-in sustaining cost of around US$900 per ounce, and a number of development projects. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
20 min listen
Fears of a hawkish Fed are 'ridiculous' - Ronald-Peter Stoeferle: With a wobbly economy and too much household wealth tied up in equities, the markets have less to fear from a hawkish Fed, said Ronald-Peter Stoeferle, responsible for fund management and research at Incrementum AG. Stoeferle spoke to Kitco on Tuesday. He said there may be a once-a-done rate hike instead of several rate increases some were expecting as the Federal Reserve tries to tamp down inflation. "Inflation numbers are coming down, so we can actually take a little bit more time with our rate hike campaign. I cannot emphasize it enough: I think the market is expecting [too] much hawkishness from the Federal Reserve. It's ridiculous," said Stoeferle. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
16 min listen
These are the assets Jay Martin buys as safe havens: Jay Martin, CEO of CambridgeHouse and host of The Jay Martin Show, discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News, the outlook for the economy and some of the safest assets to buy in the event of an economic downturn. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
28 min listen
Battery metal entrepreneur pivots Ontario gold play after significant nickel intercepts: Tolga Kumova’s Aston Minerals (ASX:ASO) started out as a gold junior when the company hit significant nickel mineralization. Kumova was behind Syrah Resources, an African graphite company, which now has a valuation north of $600 million. The company recently signed up Tesla for an offtake agreement. Aston Minerals Edleston project is located about 60 Km south of Timmins, Ontario. The company announced 163.5m at 0.52% Ni & 0.016% Co from 186.5m at its Boomerang target. Kumova is executive chair of Aston. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
13 min listen
The threat of higher rates in 2022 is real, here's what happens to gold and silver - Jeff Christian: 2022 will see silver and gold prices diverge once again, with silver falling by 2% while gold climbs in value, said Jeff Christian, managing partner of CPM Group. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
27 min listen
Favor gold over silver in 2022, Fed rate hikes will have major impacts on economy - Gary Wagner: The Federal Open Market Committee has announced a doubling in the pace of asset tapering on Wednesday. The Dot Plots indicate that there will be an average of three rate hikes in 2022, three more in 2023, and two in 2024, all in increments of 25 basis points. Gary Wagner, editor of TheGoldForecast.com discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News, the impact that monetary policy next year will have on financial markets. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
24 min listen
The ultimate survival guide for gold, Bitcoin, and stock investors - Alex Mashinsky: Alex Mashinsky, CEO of Celsius Network, discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News, the major investment themes of 2022, and which assets will perform the best. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
24 min listen
This is why speculation will end in 2022 - E.B. Tucker: E.B. Tucker, director of Metalla Royalty, discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News the outlook for stocks, gold, and silver in 2022. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
26 min listen
Can Satoshi Nakamoto's identity finally be confirmed?: Kurt Wuckert Jr., the "Bitcoin Historian" at CoinGeek, discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News, evidence that points to the real identity of Satoshi Nakamoto. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
34 min listen
Bitcoin’s true value as a currency unlocked; Is mass adoption next? Chantelle Borrelli: Bitcoin has a reputation as being a stable store of value in the cryptocurrency space, but one company proves that the largest coin has utility besides being an investment. Chantelle Borrelli is the co-founder and CEO of CrownBits Rewards, a loyalty platform that offers cash-back rewards in Bitcoin. Borrelli discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News, how incentive programs are what's needed for mass adoption in Bitcoin to happen. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
17 min listen
This is the future of DeFi - Michael So: Michael So, VP of Business Development of Cook Finance, discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News, the newest developments in decentralized finance (DeFi). by Kitco NEWS Interviews
11 min listen
https://www.kitco.com/news/2021-11-30/images/Kitco-Podcast_464x292.jpg: The uptrend for gold is still intact, said Dr. Nicole Adshead-Bell, director at Cupel Advisory Group. Earlier this month Adshead-Bell spoke to Kitco at the Deutsche Goldmesse show in Frankfurt, Germany. "We're no longer at the very beginnings of a bull market," said Adshead-Bell, adding that the easy money has already been made. "Bull markets have varying degrees of gestation and some of them can be exceptionally long in duration," she said noting 2020 was a "euphoric" year. "Whenever you have that kind of parabolic equity performance, there will always be a correction. That's a very natural thing, and that's a healthy thing." Adshead-Bell said inflation and global uncertainty favors gold. "All of these elements that are circling around the globe are very, very good for gold. I think we'll look back on this year and think that this was an opportune time to enter into the sector." by Kitco NEWS Interviews
12 min listen
Billionaire founder of FTX reveals cryptos that will survive the next crash - Bankman-Fried: The crypto protocols and projects that will stand the test of time are those that can scale to allow for massive adoption should over a billion people use blockchain, said Sam Bankman-Fried, CEO and founder of FTX. FTX is one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges and had recently acquired the rights to rename the American Airlines Arena in Miami, home to the NBA team Miami Heat, to FTX Arena. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
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50% stock market crash 'wouldn't surprise me'; This is the biggest risk today - Ted Oakley: The biggest risk facing investors right now is the unsustainable stock market valuations that will eventually mean revert, said Ted Oakley, founder and partner of Oxbow Advisors. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
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'Nobody's mentioning the 800-pound gorilla in the room' - Willem Middlekoop on inflation naysayers: The problem with the "inflation is transitory" argument is that it overlooks the growth in money supply, said Willem Middlekoop, founder of Commodity Discovery Fund. Middlekoop spoke to Kitco on Friday at the Deutsche Goldmesse show in Frankfurt, Germany. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
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Why gold miners are set for their most profitable year ever: While 2020 may have seen gold broach peak prices in some currencies, the average cost of the metal in 2021 is a bigger boost for gold miners, according to Ronald-Peter Stoeferle. Stoeferle spoke to Kitco on Friday. He is managing partner at Incrementum AG. "The average gold price is at an all-time high," said Stoeferle commenting on 2021. "Of course we are seeing some cost inflation when it comes to labor and materials, but the margin of the producers is still spectacularly high." by Kitco NEWS Interviews
17 min listen
Silver is the one metal 'that is going to play catch up' - Keith Neumeyer: The strong rally in precious metals was a bit of a surprise for First Majestic Silver (NYSE: AG) CEO Keith Neumeyer. Neumeyer spoke to Kitco on Friday at the Deutsche Gold Messe show in Frankfurt, Germany. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
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Bitcoin, Ethereum's next bull rallies confirmed, these are price targets for end of year: The recent bullish momentum for Bitcoin is likely to be sustained because key technical levels have been breached, and the fear from China's tightening regulation has largely dissipated, said Florian Grummes, managing director of Midas Touch Consulting. "We have a good chance to see $100k by the end of the year, maybe even higher. Of course, that would spark an altcoin season again. If Bitcoin really continues to run, I would say that the $60k $65k level is the last resistance of the bears. If there is nothing coming for them, then Bitcoin is off to the races and it could be $100k or even higher, $150k is possible towards January," he said. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
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What is gold's peak price during this cycle? David Garofalo: Gold peaked in 1981 when it reached $850 an ounce in nominal terms, but adjusted for inflation, that would equal $3,000 in real terms today. $3,000 is this cycle’s coming peak, David Garofalo, CEO of Gold Royalty Corp. told David Lin, anchor for Kitco News. by Kitco NEWS Interviews
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Expect higher inflation, dollar devaluation, and higher gold price in 2021

Expect higher inflation, dollar devaluation, and higher gold price in 2021

Description

Titles in the series (100)

More Episodes from Kitco NEWS Interviews