Flipped Signs and Forecast Philosophy

FromMoody's Talks - Inside Economics

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Flipped Signs and Forecast Philosophy

FromMoody's Talks - Inside Economics

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Length:

89 minutes

Released:

Jul 23, 2021

Format:

Podcast episode

Description

Marisa DiNatale, Senior Director at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris and they recall their own favorite and least favorite forecast of all-time. They also discuss different approaches to forecasting, the meaning of being accurate, and who is a hedgehog or fox.

Released:

Jul 23, 2021

Format:

Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Join Chief Economist Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet and Cristian deRitis as they discuss key indicators and other aspects of the global economy. Contact us at insideeconomics@moodys.com. Visit online at www.economy.com/economicview

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Lumber and Labor Force: The economy is booming, should President Biden get the credit? ...and what about his newly unveiled American Families plan? Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team discuss. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Work and Work from Anywhere: Adam Ozimek Chief Economist at Upwork, joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss the recent job numbers and productivity. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Back to Normal and Build Back Better: Mark Zandi and team discuss the trade deficit, jobless claims, the Back to Normal Index and President Biden's infrastructure plan. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Rates and Reflation: Mark Zandi and team discuss interest rates, 10-year treasury yield, inflation, monetary policy, and when we can expect to get back to full employment. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Flipped Signs and Forecast Philosophy: Marisa DiNatale, Senior Director at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris and they recall their own favorite and least favorite forecast of all-time. They also discuss different approaches to forecasting, the meaning of being accurate, and who is a hedgehog or fox. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
89 min listen
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Shortages and Supply Chains: Tim Uy, Todd Metcalfe, and Jesse Rogers, all economists at Moody's Analytics, join Mark and Ryan to discuss global supply chains and commodity shortages. The focus is on issuances around semiconductors, lumber, and copper. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Consumer Prices and Cars: Mike Brisson, Senior Economist at Moody's Analytics joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss the latest CPI report, labor market, homebuyer perceptions, and the vehicle market. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Housing and Happy Birthday: Jim Parrott at Urban Institute, joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss the state of the U.S. housing market and the supply issues its facing. We also discuss this week's key economic data. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
64 min listen
Tapering and Taxes: Bill Gale, Senior Fellow at Brookings Institute, joins Mark and Ryan to discuss Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech and the big topic was fiscal policy. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Delta and Debt: Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome back Marisa Di Natale, Senior Director at Moody's Analytics to discuss the impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19 on the U.S. economy. The big topic is the health of the American household balance sheet. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
73 min listen
A Booming Economy and Bubbles: Mark Zandi and team discuss the recent jobs report, bubbles, cryptocurrencies and expectations for the economy. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
35 min listen
Bonus Episode: On the Bumpy Road to Recovery in 2022: With the Omicron wave upon us, it would be Pollyannaish to get overly enthused about the economy's prospects in the new year. But if the economy's performance last year is a guide, we should not be too pessimistic either. Despite being hit hard by the Delta wave of the virus, the economy grew like gangbusters in 2021. It will not grow as strongly in 2022, but inflation, which took off in recent months, will come back to earth. Having said this, how good a year the economy will have depends on the pandemic's path and how well policymakers respond. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Debt and Debt Limits: Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome back Bernard Yaros, an economist from Moody's Analytics to discuss fiscal policy, the odds of a government shutdown, and the debt limit. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
77 min listen
Monetary Policy and Multiple Models: Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team discuss the latest indicators, follow up on one of their first podcast topics - inflation, and discuss their individual models. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
70 min listen
Jobs Jobs Jobs: Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome back their first repeat appearance guest - Dante DeAntonio, Senior Economist at Moodys Analytics. They breakdown the numbers in the July Employment Report and discuss the labor force and productivity in great detail. They also touch on the Delta Variant and its impact on the economy. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
70 min listen
Big Inflation and Baby Bubbles: Mark, Ryan, and Cris discuss the November consumer price index. The big topic is whether stock prices, housing, and crypto are in the midst of a bubble. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
82 min listen
Probability of Recession and Puppies for Everyone: Kevin Hassett, Vice President and Managing Director of the Lindsey Group and former Chair of the Council of Economics under President Trump, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris to discuss the risk of a recession, inflation, and tax proposals in President Biden's Build Back Better legislation. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
77 min listen
ECI and ECB: Kamil Kovar, Economist at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark, Cris and Ryan to discuss U.S. and euro zone GDP along with wages. They also discuss Mark's cancelled flight and the big topic was monetary policy in the U.S. and euro zone. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
79 min listen
Surprises, Scenarios, and Spirals: Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome back Marisa DiNatale, Senior Director at Moody's Analytics, to discuss the latest employment report. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
69 min listen

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Flipped Signs and Forecast Philosophy

Flipped Signs and Forecast Philosophy

Description

Titles in the series (100)

More Episodes from Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

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