48 min listen
138: The "Expected Probability Paradox" For Options Traders
138: The "Expected Probability Paradox" For Options Traders
ratings:
Length:
54 minutes
Released:
Aug 6, 2018
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
Show notes: http://optionalpha.com/show138 I'm going to go out on a limb and publicly declare that this podcast will be one of our top 3 to 5 shows we ever recorded. Aggressive and overly confident, maybe - but I have absolutely no doubt this podcast episode will be a game-changer for hundreds of thousands of options traders. The expected probability paradox for options traders, as I have coined this problem, is one of the most understood aspects of option selling and premium strategies. The root of this problem starts with the misunderstanding of initial strike price probabilities, perfect pricing of option spreads, and the impact of implied volatility on when rates and drawdowns. On today's show, we are going to dive deep into the three main areas of the expected probability paradox to help you understand why option selling, even in its purest form, even if you cannot find perfect pricing, still outperforms the market. We'll also talk about why laddering in some additional active management strategies such as profit-taking and making adjustments or rolling trades helps stabilize portfolios and increase returns. Put simply, skip this show at your own risk.
Released:
Aug 6, 2018
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
OAP 019 : Interview with Joshua Belanger - Profiting From Unusual Options Activity And Volume: In this session of The Option Alpha Podcast I had a chance to flip the script on Joshua Belanger from www.OptionSizzle.com. A former CME runner in Chicago, Josh has been a long time industry trader both on the professional and retail level. ... by The Option Alpha Podcast