Central Asia: Political and Economic Challenges in the Post-Soviet Era
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Central Asia - Alexei Vassiliev
PART ONE
KAZAKHSTAN
The Course Towards Political Stability
N.I. Petrov & M.S. Gafarly
Kazakhstan is the largest of the new Central Asian states that emerged as a result of disintegration of the USSR. In the CIS it is second in territory (2,724.9 thsd km2) and fourth in population (15,671 thsd by 1 January 1998). The republic borders Russia, China, Kyrghyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. Before the disintegration of the USSR approximately 40% of the population of the republic were Kazakhs, 40% Russians and Ukrainians, and 20% belonged to about 100 other ethnic groups. Approximately 1 mln Kazakhs lived in Russia.
According to official data, the population of the country has reduced by 1.3 mln during its years of independence. Emigration from the republic grows: from 80,000 in 1991 to 270,000 in 1997. According to the National Committee for Migration and Demography, 1.2 mln people left Kazakhstan for Russia alone between 1993 and 1998, including 854,000 Russians.
The urban population is 9.6 mln, or 57% of the total. The capital of the country was Almaty (1.2 mln). On 10 December 1997, the capital of Kazakhstan was shifted to Akmola (White City), renamed Astana (Capital) in the spring of 1998.
Astana is a city in the north-east of Kazakhstan. It was founded as a fortress in the 19th century, immediately after the Russian empire conquered those territories, and was called Akmolinsk up to the early 1960s. It became the centre of agricultural activities related to bringing the virgin lands of Kazakhstan under cultivation, and was renamed Tselinograd (after tselina, virgin land) under Nikita Khrushchev’s orders. After Kazakhstan acquired independence, the city was named Akmola. The President’s decision to shift the capital was motivated by the fact that Almaty lies in a region with a high risk of earthquakes, near the state frontiers. A tense situation persists in Tajikistan, close to Kazakhstan’s frontier, and the focus of tension may shift to Almaty at any time. However, an important reason for the President to shift the state centre from the outskirts to the real centre of the country
was to change the ethno-demographic and socio-political situation there, thus weakening Russia’s influence in the northern part of the republic.
Kazakhstan proclaimed itself an independent state on 16 December 1991, the last of the former union republics of the USSR to do so. However, serious efforts to transform the political and economic systems in the country had begun a couple of years previously: they were closely connected with the name of Nursultan Nazarbaev, the head of the republic, whose manner of leadership may be described as a type of authoritarian modernization. His election as First Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist party of Kazakhstan in June 1989 marked the beginning of gradual economic and political reforms. Certainly, Nazarbaev’s importance is highlighted by his ability to retain stability in a republic where the Kazakhs comprised less than a half of the population before the collapse of the USSR and the mass migration of Russians from Kazakhstan.
Emergence of the National State: The Role of Political Leaders
Before the independence of Kazakhstan was proclaimed, the main political developments were as follows: in February 1990 the Supreme Soviet of a new convocation was elected in the republic. Nursultan Nazarbaev was elected its Chairman, with Sergei Tereshchenko as his first deputy, in March.
On 25 April 1990 the Supreme Soviet elected Nazarbaev President of Kazakhstan. Tereshchenko became the Vice-President, but in May he was transferred to Shymkent (Chimkent) as the First Secretary of the Regional Committee of the Communist Party. Erik Asanbaev was elected Chairman of the Supreme Soviet, and Uzbakai Karamanov became Chairman of the Council of Ministers.
On 16 October 1991 Tereshchenko became the Chairman of the Council of Ministers, and Asanbaev was given the newly introduced post of Vice-President. At the same time, elections held for the vacant office of Chairman of the Supreme Soviet failed to produce a result, and Serikbolsun Abdildin, the Deputy Chairman of the Supreme Soviet since April 1990, was commissioned to be the acting Chairman up until the next session.
On 1 December 1991 direct presidential elections were held. Nazarbaev became the President, and Asanbaev, who ran the elections together with him, was elected Vice-President. The office of the Chairman of the Supreme Soviet was taken by Abdildin on 11 December 1991.
On 28 January 1993 the new Constitution of Kazakhstan was adopted, proclaiming Kazakhstan a presidential republic with a one-house parliament.
During the years of his leadership Nursultan Nazarbaev has shown himself to be a pragmatic technocrat and advocate of strong state power, under whose control the republic is undergoing a gradual transition to a market economy. Nazarbaev’s political ideals are Turkey (the first country to recognize Kazakhstan’s independence), and South Korea. Nazarbaev is among the most consistent advocates of the CIS and is aware of the necessity of preserving the links among the former republics of the USSR. He was the first leader of a CIS country to raise the important question of identifying the political mechanisms which could serve to enhance practical interaction within the Commonwealth. The first steps towards this end were the arrangements agreed between Kazakhstan and Russia in January 1993, encompassing almost all areas of their relationship.
According to numerous public opinion polls, Nursultan Nazarbaev is among the most popular politicians in the territory of the ex-USSR.
Nursultan Nazarbaev was born on 6 July 1940, to the family of a hereditary shepherd in a remote part of the Almaty (Alma-Ata) region. He finished technical college at 19, worked in construction and then at the blast-furnace shop of Karmet (the Karaganda metallurgical plant), combining his employment with studies at the Karaganda Polytechnical Institute and then at the Higher Technical College run by Karmet. He became a Communist Party official in 1969 and made rapid career progress: from secretary of the Karmet Party Committee to secretary of the Karaganda Regional Party Committee, then of the Central Committee of Kazakhstan (1979). He became Chairman of the Council of Ministers of the Kazakh SSR in 1984. Nazarbaev was a follower of Dinmukhammed Kunaev, one of the most influential first secretaries of the republican Communist parties, and in Moscow he enjoyed the protection of such leaders as Mikhail Suslov, Yuri Andropov and, later on, Egor Ligachev. From 1986 Nazarbaev was a member of the Central Committee of the