The World's Simplest Stock Picking Strategy: How to make money investing in the companies in your life
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About this ebook
Professional investors on Wall Street have the best education, the deepest knowledge of company accounts, the latest technology, and teams of analysts at their disposal to help them identify the best stock investments. That is their edge. As a part-time, individual investor, you cannot compete on their turf.
What can you do? This is where The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy comes in.
As you go about your life, there are companies you interact with regularly as a consumer. Some companies will stand out to you as having remarkable products or services, which you use time and again, and which you imagine yourself using long into the future. You may not have realised it, but you have an excellent knowledge of those companies. This is your edge. This is where you should invest.
In The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy, Wall Street equity adviser Edward Ryan describes the investment strategy he has used for his own personal investments for the last ten years and shows you, step by step, with full practical guidance, how to put it into practice yourself.
You do not need to know how to read company accounts, you do not need an MBA, and you do not need to spend hours each weekend reading the business pages. The strategy is simple and accessible to anyone who is a regular consumer of products and services in their daily life.
What’s more, The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy also has built-in steps to help the investor construct a balanced portfolio, invest during market pullbacks when other investors are fearful, avoid overtrading, and deal with the sticky problem of when to sell an investment. These are all things that professional investors struggle with, but they are taken care of by The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy.
If you are ready to take a strategic approach to investing in stocks and start out on the road to building long-term wealth, The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy is your essential guide.
Edward W. Ryan
Edward Ryan provides investment advice to some of the world’s leading asset managers and has worked closely with Wall Street’s top-ranked analysts. The portfolio he managed while trading returned 1200% over a four-year period. When he isn’t working, Edward spends time outdoors hiking, jogging, or strolling with his wife and daughter. He holds a bachelor’s degree in Economics from New York University.
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The World's Simplest Stock Picking Strategy - Edward W. Ryan
The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy
How to make money investing in the companies in your life
Edward W. Ryan
Contents
Preface
The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy
The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy is for everyone
The Layout of the Book
Foreword by Steve Burns and Holly Burns
Introduction
Getting a piece of the market magic
The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy
Great Stocks
No-brainer stocks
Pricing power
The limits of financial analysis and investment forecasts
Your competitive advantage
You are already gathering valuable information
Well-known companies, well-known products
The five steps
Step 1: List Your Life Activities
Ed Ryan’s Life List
Step 2: Qualify Your Life Activities
Companies that are important to you today—and will be tomorrow
Evaluating which companies are truly special
Green, Yellow, and Blue companies
Ed Ryan’s Life List
Step 3: Rank Your Life Stocks
Prioritizing stocks within each bucket
Ed Ryan’s Life List
Step 4: Invest in Your Life Stocks
1. Starting with $100,000
2. Starting with $10,000
3. Starting with $100
When to hit the buy button
The bigger picture
Step 5: Manage Your Life Stocks Portfolio
1. Review your Life List every three months
2. Understand when to sell a life stock
3. Understand when to rebalance your life stock portfolio
Summary of the Five Steps
Recommendation #1: Buy on Market Pullbacks
Buy low
A simple approach to buying pullbacks
How to use the stochastics oscillator
When a new green stock is added
Avoiding bubbles
Recommendation #2: Hedge with ETFs
Recommendation #3: Diversify Your Assets
My simple process for savings goals
Allocating to other assets
Underlying Principles
1. Investing in quality companies
2. Knowing why you own what you own
3. Riding winners and cutting losers
4. Investing for the long term
5. Recognizing special companies early
6. Being comfortable with big positions
7. Weathering volatility
8. Buying on pullbacks and avoiding bubbles
Case Study #1: Google (GOOGL)
Sticking with long-term winners
Case Study #2: Zillow (ZG)
Weathering volatility
Case Study #3: Tesla (TSLA)
Wall street can be wrong
Case Study #4: Under Armour (UAA)
Taking losses is okay
Case Study #5: Etsy (ETSY)
Recognizing special companies early
Stay in Touch
Glossary
About the Author
Publishing details
Disclosure
This material contains the current opinions of the author but not necessarily those of his employer and such opinions are subject to change without notice. This publication has been distributed for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security or investment product. The strategies outlined in this book may not be suitable for every individual, are not guaranteed or warranted to produce any particular results and does not contain information necessary to make investment decisions. [Consult your financial adviser or an investment professional to discuss making specific investments.]
References to specific securities and their issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended and should not be interpreted as recommendations to purchase or sell such securities. The author may or may not own the securities referenced and, if such securities are owned, no representation is being made that such securities will continue to be held.
Nothing contained herein is intended to constitute accounting, legal, tax, securities, investment, or other professional advice, not an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, not a solicitation of any type. Readers should be aware that all investments contain risk and may lose value. The information contained herein should not be acted upon without obtaining specific accounting, legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional.
Preface
The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy
Hindsight is 20/20.
Today, it is easy to see which companies would have been great investments yesterday.
We often regrettably look back at missed opportunities that now, years later, appear to have been obvious. Many of these incredible companies were right in front of us the whole time as we used their products or services, yet never considered them as investments.
What if you could change that? What if you had a framework for investing that enabled you to catch the next great stocks?
That is what the World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy provides. It is a simple and fun process designed to help you invest in and profit from the companies you interact with and admire.
The process is centered around your competitive advantage as an investor, which is your intimate knowledge of the products and services that are part of your life. The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy will guide you step-by-step in determining which companies in your life to invest in, how much capital should be allocated to each investment, and when you should buy, sell, add, or reduce positions.
The process is consistent with sound investing principles, yet it requires no investment or financial experience to execute. No matter your age, education, or background, you are just as capable of executing this investment strategy as anyone else.
The easy-to-follow steps described in this book have the ability to transform you from an everyday consumer making decisions about how to spend your time and money, into a disciplined investor with a concentrated portfolio of quality stocks.
The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy is for everyone
I developed this investment strategy for myself because I was tired of missing out on great stocks that in hindsight seemed to have been so obvious.
While working professionally in proprietary trading and equity research, and doing my own financial analysis of companies, I was missing out on profitable stock moves in companies that were right in front of me—Amazon, Facebook, Microsoft, etc.—companies that I was using every day in my personal life.
To put an end to the missing out, and to start profiting from these incredible companies all around me, I developed this stock strategy and fine-tuned it over a decade of contemplation and trial and error. My goal was to create a framework that would be rooted in sound investing principles yet was easy to execute and relied on common sense.
I believe those goals have been achieved in what I now call the World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy.
I have been using this investment strategy successfully for several years with my own money, and I believe strongly in its merit.
I decided to articulate the strategy in an easy-to-follow book because of the countless questions I have received from friends and family members about how to invest.
These inquiries have been about investing in individual stocks, never about general investing principles, financial analysis, or exchange traded funds (ETFs). My friends and family are representative of the larger trend of people who are becoming interested in trying their hand at stock picking, but who have no professional experience or knowledge.
This book is a practical framework that anyone with an interest in stock investing can follow.
Here are a few examples of people in my life, from varying backgrounds, who are benefiting from the strategy I shared with them.
My 19-year-old godson told me that he has become interested in investing. He created a Robinhood account and has been buying and selling stocks based on news headlines. He is likely to ultimately lose money trading this way, but he is not interested in simply buying ETFs. He has seen big moves in the stocks of companies he is familiar with and wants to get involved. This book is for him.
My friend who works in software programming recently told me that after having worked and saved money for over 13 years, she is just now getting interested in investing. I asked her if she’s investing in ETFs or individual stocks, and she replied, I want to do a little of both, but I don’t really know what I am doing.
This book is for her.
My brother who owns a food trailer at a popular bar in Austin, Texas, told me that everyone at the bar talks about stocks now.
He said most of his patrons get their investment ideas from internet personalities, and most of them have no meaningful investing game plan whatsoever. This book is for them.
My mother mentioned that she opened a brokerage account to play around with
and that she bought some Lululemon (LULU) stock because she likes their clothes and thinks they’re going to keep doing well.
She then added, What else do you think I should buy?
This book is for her.
My friend who holds an MBA and has been a devoted investor for over a decade—he spends time analyzing company financials—remarked, I feel like an idiot, I’ve been doing work trying to find stocks with low P/E ratios and high dividend yields for the last ten years, and I’m losing money in this market while people who just bought the obvious stocks have made so much.
This book is for him.
My wife, who has never had an interest in investing but is an extremely discerning consumer with an eye for quality, recently told me that because of this strategy she thinks she could be a great investor. I don’t disagree.
If any of these people remind you of yourself, then the World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy is for you.
The Layout of the Book
My intention in writing this book was to make understanding and executing my stock picking strategy as easy as possible.
This is not meant to be a dry, academic read; rather, it is an actionable guide. The layout of the book reflects this aim.
The first two chapters introduce the stock strategy and discuss the investing philosophy supporting it.
From there, we jump right into the core five steps of the investment process. It is in these five simple steps that you will be guided in turning the products and services in your life into a portfolio of stocks, with intuitive rules for managing your positions over time.
After the core five steps, we will walk through three risk management recommendations:
Buying on pullbacks
Hedging your stock picks with ETFs
Diversifying your assets
As we’ll discuss in these recommendations, it is important to consider the asset allocation of your total net worth—how many eggs you have in different investment baskets, like stocks, bonds, cash, precious metals, real estate, etc.
The World’s Simplest Stock Picking Strategy is not a holistic wealth management plan. Rather, for the individual with a desire to pick stocks, it is a strategy that can be applied to a portion of your equity investments to enable you to share in the profitability, growth and wealth creation of the companies who provide the best products and services that you use every day in your own life.
For this reason, I strongly urge you to consider and apply the three recommendations, as they can potentially help mitigate some of the risk inherent in investing.
After you have worked through the core five steps and the three additional recommendations, you’ll be ready to execute the strategy. It’s that simple.
But before you go, we’ll recap the sound investing