Resilience Thinking: Sustaining Ecosystems and People in a Changing World
By Brian Walker, David Salt and Walter Reid
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About this ebook
"Resilience thinking" offers a different way of understanding the world and a new approach to managing resources. It embraces human and natural systems as complex entities continually adapting through cycles of change, and seeks to understand the qualities of a system that must be maintained or enhanced in order to achieve sustainability. It explains why greater efficiency by itself cannot solve resource problems and offers a constructive alternative that opens up options rather than closing them down.
In Resilience Thinking, scientist Brian Walker and science writer David Salt present an accessible introduction to the emerging paradigm of resilience. The book arose out of appeals from colleagues in science and industry for a plainly written account of what resilience is all about and how a resilience approach differs from current practices. Rather than complicated theory, the book offers a conceptual overview along with five case studies of resilience thinking in the real world. It is an engaging and important work for anyone interested in managing risk in a complex world.
Brian Walker
Brian Walker has conducted and led research on resilience in social-ecological systems around the world. He was Senior Lecturer at the University of Rhodesia, Zimbabwe, Professor of Ecology at the University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa, and Chief of Australia’s CSIRO Division of Wildlife and Ecology. He is a past-Chair of the International Resilience Alliance and of the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics in Stockholm, and is now an Honorary CSIRO Fellow and Honorary Professor at The Australian National University. Brian was the recipient of the prestigious Blue Planet Prize in 2018.
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Resilience Thinking - Brian Walker
2005
1
Living in a Complex World:
An Introduction to Resilience Thinking
Life is full of surprises. Sometimes we take them in stride; some times they trip us up.
Consider these questions: In business, why is a competitor’s new product sometimes only a minor hiccough but at other times a major shock that can destroy an enterprise? In industry, how is growth sometimes unaffected by medium interest rate rises but at other times the smallest change brings things crashing down? Why is it that the same drought that causes serious degradation of resources on one farm has little effect on another?
The response of any system to shocks and disturbances depends on its particular context, its connections across scales, and its current state. Every situation is different; things are always changing. It’s a complex world.
We are all managers of systems of one type or another. That system might be a home, a company, or a nation. You might have responsibility of caring for a nature reserve, developing a mining operation, or planning fishing quotas. Be it a farm, a business, a region, or an industry, we are all part of some system of humans and nature (social-ecological systems).
How do you approach the task of management in this complex world? Do you assume things will happen in much the same way tomorrow as they did yesterday? Are you confident the system you are working in won’t be disrupted by little surprises? Do you appreciate what’s needed for a system to absorb unexpected disturbances?
All of these questions relate to resilience, the ability of a system to absorb disturbance and still retain its basic function and structure. They also relate to concepts of sustainability and the challenge of servicing current system demands without eroding the potential to meet future needs. We live in a time of growing population coupled with a declining resource base and great uncertainty about a range of environmental issues such as climate change. How can we make the systems that we depend upon resilient?
But before we address issues of resilience, stop and consider for a moment our current practices of resource management.
The Drivers of Unsustainable Development
Our world is facing abroad range of serious and growing resource issues. Human-induced soil degradation has been getting worse since the 1950s. About 85 percent of agricultural land contains areas degraded by erosion, rising salt, soil compaction, and various other factors. It has been estimated (Wood et al. 2000) that soil degradation has already reduced global agricultural productivity by around 15 percent in the last fifty years. In the last three hundred years, topsoil has been lost at a rate of 300 million tons per year; in the last fifty years it has more than doubled to 760 million tons per year.
As we move deeper into the twenty-first century we cannot afford to lose more of our resource base. The global population is now expanding by about 75 million people each year. Population growth rates are declining, but the world’s population will still be expanding by almost 60 million per year in 2030. The United Nations projections put the global population at nearly 8 billion in 2025. In addition, if current water consumption patterns continue unabated, half the world’s population will live in water-stressed river basins by 2025.
The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) 2004 Annual Hunger Report estimates that over 850 million people suffer from chronic hunger. Hunger kills 5 million children every year.
The most famous fisheries in the world have collapsed one after the other, including those managed with the explicit aim of being sustainable (like the cod fisheries at Grand Banks, Newfoundland in 1992). Productive rangelands are turning into unproductive expanses of woody shrubs. Half of the world’s wetlands have been lost in just the last century. Lake systems and rivers everywhere are experiencing algal blooms and a raft of problems associated with the oversupply of