Digital Cathedrals
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Digital Cathedrals - Mark P. Mills
Who will invent America’s next great century?
The big ideas that will revolutionize the way we live will not emerge from our nation’s capital. They will be dreamt up, as they always have been, by enterprising Americans who hope to create positive value for others.
Encounter Intelligence is dedicated to promoting advances in innovation, education, and technology that will improve the lives of all Americans and unlock real opportunity for those who need it most.
Table of Contents
The Information Infrastructure Era
Digital-infrastructure masons caught between profit seeking and virtue shaming
Defining structures of epochs: cathedrals, skyscrapers, and datacenters
The invisible and voracious information superhighway
Expanding and accelerating the information superhighway
with 5G
Are CAFÉ-like fuel efficiency standards on the horizon for AI and robots?
The architecture and appetite of artificial intelligence
Supercomputers and AI supercharge the Cloud
Shock and awe as déjà vu all over again
Robocars are coming, but robots eat too
The relentless pursuit of and confusion over efficiency: Jevons Paradox
The ineluctable energy magic of silicon engines
Metrics for measuring the future: from Medieval barrels to AI’s bytes
Data is the new oil
Copyright
The Information Infrastructure Era
The more energy, the faster the bits flip. Earth, air, fire, and water in the end are all made of energy, but the different forms they take are determined by information. To do anything requires energy. To specify what is done requires information.
SETH LLOYD, MIT,
Programming the Universe (2006)
Given the resources committed to them, the reverence afforded to those who own them, the adoration of the masons
who build them, and the awe for what they house, datacenters might be called the digital cathedrals of the twenty-first century. Datacenters do deserve a certain awe. They constitute a key feature of a system that, as Greenpeace accurately observed, is the largest thing we [will] build as a species.
That thing
is the Cloud, the massive ecosystem of information-digital hardware. It is society’s first new infrastructure in nearly a century.
Civilization is built on foundational infrastructures, the physical networks that provide society not just with core services, but the platforms enabling all the other features and services of a modern economy. All infrastructures entail energy and can be thus neatly divided into two general categories: those that consume energy, and those that produce it.
Only three classes of infrastructures produce energy: those responsible for food, for hydrocarbons, and for electricity. The list is similarly short for energy-consuming infrastructures: clean water, transportation, and communications. Notably, 80 percent of our economy is found in the myriad activities associated with the energy-consuming infrastructures. And now, for the first time in a century, we can add a new name to this latter list: the Cloud.
Data has been called the new oil
and the Internet the information superhighway.
Some analogize the rise of the Internet with the emergence of the electric age. But these analogies don’t properly capture what is now underway with the Cloud and especially its most prominent (and ineptly named) feature, artificial intelligence.
The emerging Cloud is as different from the communications infrastructure that preceded it as air travel is different from automobiles. And, using energy as a metric for scale, today’s global Cloud already consumes more energy than global aviation.
Stories about digital disruptions
we’ve already witnessed only hint at the structural, economic, and social changes yet to come as the Cloud infrastructure expands. Indeed, most of what has happened thus far has been associated with the news, advertising, financial, entertainment, and communications industries—all of those information-centric themselves. But those activities constitute, collectively, less than 20 percent of the GDP. We are still in early days of the digitalization
of the remaining 80 percent of the economy.