Advanced Smartgrids for Distribution System Operators
By Marc Boillot
()
About this ebook
The dynamic of the Energy Transition is engaged in many region of the World. This is a real challenge for electric systems and a paradigm shift for existing distribution networks. With the help of "advanced" smart technologies, the Distribution System Operators will have a central role to integrate massively renewable generation, electric vehicle and demand response programs. Many projects are on-going to develop and assess advanced smart grids solutions, with already some lessons learnt. In the end, the Smart Grid is a mean for Distribution System Operators to ensure the quality and the security of power supply.
Several books have been written to provide a definition of Smart grids, explore the different technical evolution needed and explain / analyse what would be the benefits. All those books are conducted on theoretical basis by academics and strategy consultants. This new book will propose a complementary and singular approach based on a practical experience from DSO's.
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Advanced Smartgrids for Distribution System Operators - Marc Boillot
1
Distribution System Operators in a Changing Environment
1.1. Energy policies promoting the energy transition
During the last three decades, strong economic growth and expanding populations have lead to a significant increase in global energy demand. For the next three decades, many forecasts unanimously predict that this increase will continue at this pace. Also, because of the economic growth of China and India, the rate is accelerated in non-OECD (organization for economic co-operation and development) economies.
To support the energy demand, global net electricity generation has increased quickly from 1990 to 2010 and will supply an increasing share of the total demand from 2010 to 2040 as shown in Figure 1.1.
Electricity consumption by end-users is expected to grow faster than the use of other energy sources due to the increase in the standard of living and a higher demand for home appliances and electronic devices. This is also true with the expansion of professional sector’s needs such as hospitals, office buildings, commercial services, shopping malls, etc.
Figure 1.1. World total energy consumption 1990–2040 (quadrillion btu)¹ and world electricity generation (index, 1990 = 1) ². For a color version of the figure, see www.iste.co.uk/boillot/smartgrids.zip
Combinations of primary energy sources to produce electricity will be evolving in a significant way over the next three decades:
Figure 1.2. World electricity generation by fuel 2010–2040 (trillion kWh) and world electricity generation from renewable energy sources 2010 and 2040³. For a color version of the figure, see www.iste.co.uk/boillot/smartgrids.zip
In particular, according to US Department of Energy/Energy Information Administration (DOE/EIA)
Reference Case projections, the renewable share of these combinations will increase from 21 to 25% – the world fastest growing source of electric power. Worldwide hydropower will account for 52% of the total increment and wind generation for 28%, with large differences between regions and countries:
– most renewable energy in OECD countries is expected to come from non-hydroelectric energy, because all resources have already been developed (except Canada and Turkey);
– in non-OECD countries, hydroelectric power is expected to be a dominant source of growth (in particular Brazil, China and India). Nevertheless, growth rates for wind power electricity will also be high. Particularly in China, where wind generated electricity should go from 6% in 2010 to 26% in 2040 (45–637 TWh of expected generated energy respectively).
Facing the challenge of a growing demand of energy, many regions of the world are engaged in a dymanic phase of energy transition. The production of electricity from renewable sources and, particularly, intermittent sources, is increasing in many regions. By 2012, more than 280 GW of wind farms and 100 GW solar photovoltaic (PV) are installed worldwide. The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts on a shorter term basis that the evolution will continue with the installation of +230 GW of wind power and +210 GW of solar PV by 2017.
Many governmental organizations encourage the development of sustainable transportation facilities (train, buses, tramway, etc.), and car manufacturers are now offering a wide range of plug-in hybrids and other electric vehicles (in December 2012, around 180,000 plug-in electric vehicles (EVs) were already on the road⁴).
Figure 1.3. Project of the evolution of EV throughout the world (plug-in and hybrid plug-in). Source: IEA – Global EV Outlook 2013. For a color version of the figure, see www.iste.co.uk/boillot/smartgrids.zip
Last but not least, consumers are changing their attitude toward energy savings. The massive roll-out of electric smart meters will permit the development of energy conservation services. More than 80 million smart meters were already deployed worldwide by December 2013 including 46 million in the USA⁵. This number is expected to reach 100 million meters by the end of 2014 according to IHS Inc⁶, and 1 billion meters by the end of 2020 according to Pike Research⁷.
The changes in generation means and consumption trends will impact energy systems worldwide:
– Producers will have to alter their business models in order to make their investments in existing generation facilities profitable, as well as to optimize operational management of energy combinations that increasingly integrate intermittent renewable energy sources (RES);
– Transmission system operators (TSOs) will have to anticipate the risks of an unbalanced supply-demand ratio that may lead to a decrease in frequency and potential black-outs; they must also develop interconnections;
– Distribution system operators (DSOs) will have to connect massively decentralized RES generation, electric vehicle recharge stations, modernize the networks and deploy smart grid technologies including metering systems;
– Energy suppliers will have to reevaluate their offers and services in response to consumers’ expectations in the context of an increasingly competitive environment (progressive market opening, with the end of regulated tariffs).
The energy transition makes a major impact for DSOs, insofar as intermittent RES generation installations are predominantly connected to distribution networks. For instance, in France, at the end of 2013, 94% of RESs installations, around 300,000, were connected to the distribution network and represented a total of 11.4 GW⁸.
To keep up with current energy volume, the total capacity of RES installations must be nearly five times greater than the capacity of current centralized thermal or nuclear generation sites. Indeed, the average running times for wind and solar power stations are around 2,000 and 1,000 h per year, respectively (average in France), while baseline generation times for a thermal or nuclear station can reach 7,000–8,000 h per year. It is important to remind that wind and solar PV generation is not guaranteed and that the correlation with demand is generally low, depending on geographical location and types of