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    The Great Depression Ahead: How to Prosper in the Crash Following the Greatest Boom in History
    The Great Depression Ahead: How to Prosper in the Crash Following the Greatest Boom in History
    The Great Depression Ahead: How to Prosper in the Crash Following the Greatest Boom in History
    Ebook527 pages9 hours

    The Great Depression Ahead: How to Prosper in the Crash Following the Greatest Boom in History

    By Harry S. Dent

    3.5/5

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    About this ebook

    The first and last economic depression that you will experience in your lifetime is just ahead. The year 2009 will be the beginning of the next long-term winter season and the initial end of prosperity in almost every market, ushering in a downturn like most of us have not experienced before. Are you aware that we have seen long-term peaks in our stock market and economy very close to every 40 years due to generational spending trends: as in 1929, 1968, and next around 2009? Are you aware that oil and commodity prices have peaked nearly every 30 years, as in 1920, 1951, 1980 -- and next likely around late 2009 to mid-2010? The three massive bubbles that have been booming for the last few decades -- stocks, real estate, and commodities -- have all reached their peak and are deflating simultaneously.

    Bestselling author and renowned economic forecaster Harry S. Dent, Jr., has observed these trends for decades. As he first demonstrated in his bestselling The Great Boom Ahead, he has developed analytical techniques that allow him to predict the impact they will have. The Great Depression Ahead explains "The Perfect Storm" as peak oil prices collide with peaking generational spending trends by 2010, leading to a more severe downtrend for the global economy and individual investors alike.

    He predicts the following:

    The economy appears to recover from the subprime crisis and minor recession by mid-2009 -- "the calm before the real storm."

    Stock prices start to crash again between mid- and late 2009 into late 2010, and likely finally bottom around mid-2012 -- between Dow 3,800 and 7,200.

    The economy enters a deeper depression between mid-2010 and early 2011, likely extending off and on into late 2012 or mid-2013.

    Asian markets may bottom by late 2010, along with health care, and be the first great buy opportunities in stocks.

    Gold and precious metals will appear to be a hedge at first, but will ultimately collapse as well after mid- to late 2010.

    A first major stock rally, likely between mid-2012 and mid-2017, will be followed by a final setdback around late 2019/early 2020.

    The next broad-based global bull market will be from 2020-2023 into 2035-2036.

    Conventional investment wisdom will no longer apply, and investors on every level -- from billion-dollar firms to the individual trader -- must drastically reevaluate their policies in order to survive. But despite the dire news and dark predictions, there are real opportunities to come from the greatest fire sale on financial assets since the early 1930s. Dent outlines the critical issues that will face our government and other major institutions, offering long- and short-term tactics for weathering the storm. He offers recommendations that will allow families, businesses, investors, and individuals to manage their assets correctly and come out on top. With the right knowledge and preparation, you can take advantage of new wealth opportunities rather than get caught in a downward spiral. Your life is about to change for reasons outside of your control. You can't change the direction of the winds, but you can reset your sails!
    LanguageEnglish
    PublisherFree Press
    Release dateJan 6, 2009
    ISBN9781416595274
    Author

    Harry S. Dent

    Harry S. Dent, Jr. is the president of the H.S. Dent Foundation, whose mission is "Helping People Understand Change." He is the founder of HS Dent, which publishes the HS Dent Forecast and oversees the HS Dent Financial Advisors Network. He is the author of the New York Times bestseller, The Great Depression Ahead, as well as of The Great Boom Ahead, in which he stood virtually alone in accurately forecasting the unanticipated "boom" of the 1990s. A Harvard MBA, Fortune 100 consultant, new venture investor, and noted speaker, Mr. Dent is a highly respected figure in his field. Rodney Johnson is the president of HS Dent, an independent economic research and investment management firm. He oversees the daily operations of the companies and is a regular contributor to the HS Forecast and the HS Dent Perspective. A graduate of Georgetown University and Southern Methodist University, Mr. Johnson is a frequent guest on radio and television programs to discuss economic changes in the United States and around the world.

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    3.5/5

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    • 4/5
      This gets a four star endorsement. I'm not sure I'm 100% behind everything laid out by Dent. I'm bothered by the sometimes misaligned years he gives for the next market crash. It's late 2009, then it's early 2010 or it's 2012-14. But, that doesn't undermine the book in full for me. I like that he's hanging his predictions out there and much of the reasoning is sound. I've always been a skeptic and this book feeds into that; so I was an easy sell. What I really enjoyed was the chapter on what level risk we REALLY take when putting our cash into the market. It IS far higher than we will let ourselves believe. THAT's the danger to investing. I also liked the tip on purchasing SH to profit on a decline without buying on margin. It also makes a nice hedge if you want to keep your money in market. I'm following the author's advice for now and the next 6-9 months. If he's right, I'll be VERY happy. If not, I can adjust easily. Worth reading but be prepared: I'm not an economist, statistician, or financial adviser, but I'm fairly versed in these areas from lot's of independent reading; so while the material is not over the top, there is no time spent explaining many terms or concepts to readers. You either know it or figure it out as you go.
    • 4/5
      This book will give you many interesting things to consider as you plan your investing strategy for the coming years. The demographic trends provide a glimpse into the future, and I believe he is on the right track. I wouldn't take anything as absolute, and adjustments will need to be made, but this is a start. Overall, I found it to be thought provoking about the possibilities ahead.The book also provides a web page where you can sign up for an email newsletter for updates as the economic conditions change.

    Book preview

    The Great Depression Ahead - Harry S. Dent

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