Los Angeles Times

'We don't want to cry wolf:' How forecasters predict LA's next huge rain storm

LOS ANGELES — When it came to forecasting L.A.'s biggest winter storm of the season, local meteorologists had a secret weapon: experience. For sure, there was plenty of computer modeling available to indicate that Southern California was in for a severe — and potentially dangerous — soaking. But based on their expertise, forecasters at the National Weather Service in Oxnard correctly ...
Commuters navigate heavy traffic on the rain-slicked westbound 210 Freeway through Azusa, California, on Feb. 1, 2024.

LOS ANGELES — When it came to forecasting L.A.'s biggest winter storm of the season, local meteorologists had a secret weapon: experience.

For sure, there was plenty of computer modeling available to indicate that Southern California was in for a severe — and potentially dangerous — soaking. But based on their expertise, forecasters at the National Weather Service in Oxnard correctly anticipated that even the machine-calculated, eye-popping rain totals were probably an underprediction.

When it comes to such a serious storm event, getting the forecast as close to correct as possible isn't just a matter of pride. Forecasters go to great lengths to assess a storm's strength so they can accurately inform the public

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