The Atlantic

The 2024 Election Already Isn’t Normal

One party heads toward a typical primary season. The other remains gripped by an authoritarian revenge fantasy.
Source: Doug Mills / The New York Times / Redux

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In a survey of swing-state voters one year out from the 2024 election, a New York Times/Siena College poll asked an unusual question: If Donald Trump were convicted and sentenced to prison, would you still vote for him as the Republican nominee in the general election?

This is, quite obviously, the first time that voters have had to consider the impact of four separate indictments and potential jury verdicts on their choice for president. Tucked amid a slew of other, more typical questions—Are you likely to vote? Which candidate are you more likely to support?—inquiries like “” are a reminder of just how bizarre the 2024 presidential race already is. One political party is going through piloted by a man under indictment for attempting to overthrow the same government that he now wants to lead.

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