Farmer's Weekly

Explaining the January 2023 drought ‘anomaly'

This January was very dry over most of north-eastern South Africa, including a large part of the summer-grain production region. Very little to no rain fell between 5 and 29 January over the northern half of the grain-production region in particular. These conditions highlighted the absolute dependence of dryland maize cultivation on regular and adequate rainfall during summer.

With 2022/23 the third consecutive summer during which La Niña conditions dominated global atmospheric circulation patterns, the negative effects of too much rain, such as waterlogged lands, have been much more in the news than the negative effects associated with drought.

La Niña is the colder counterpart of El Niño in the broader El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate pattern, leading to intense storms in some places and droughts in others.

Historically, though, the limiting effect of drought

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