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    Commentary: US COVID-19 deaths are still high, but let’s learn from forecasters’ mistakes

    by Cory Franklin and Robert Weinstein, Chicago Tribune Jan 06, 2023 3 minutes
    A nurse checks on IV pumps attached to a little COVID-19 patient at Rady Children's Hospital on Jan. 19, 2022, in San Diego.

    In a recent NFL game, the Indianapolis Colts led the Minnesota Vikings 33-0 at halftime. At that point, Las Vegas was offering odds better than 100-1 the Colts would win, but the Vikings staged a furious second-half rally and won on a field goal in overtime. It was one of the biggest comebacks in NFL history and proved once again that it is not always possible to predict the outcome of an event before it ends.

    The same is true of the COVID-19 pandemic as it enters

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