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    Democrats' Narrow Path to Winning the House

    The party’s suburban sweep in Virginia and New Jersey offers one template for 2018. But Democrats will have little room for error if they don’t expand their coalition.
    by Ronald Brownstein Nov 08, 2017 4 minutes
    Source: Win McNamee / Getty Images

    The Democrats’ “coalition of transformation” flexed its muscles Tuesday to deliver a resounding repudiation of Donald Trump and crystallize the risk the GOP has taken by allowing him to redefine the party in his image.

    But despite the party’s sweep in Virginia, New Jersey, and scattered other local races, the results also showed that Democrats are unlikely to solve all of their electoral problems without regaining more ground with the competing “coalition of restoration” that flocked to Trump in 2016.

    In that way, the elections of Ralph Northam and Phil Murphy in governors’ races in Virginia and New Jersey, respectively—as well as the historic Democratic victories in the Virginia state House elections—showed the party a clear, suburbs-centric path toward recapturing

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