Beijing Review

Curve of Decline

The author is a research fellow with the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation

The U.S. GDP shrank at an unprecedented 32.9-percent annual rate in the second quarter (Q2) of 2020, according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on July 30.

In the first quarter (Q1), the U.S. economy decreased 4.8 percent year on year, ending its 11-year expansion, the longest on record. The accelerated downturn in Q2 made it the worst ever since 1947, when BEA began to release the data.

Prime factors

The U.S. GDP is mainly driven by personal consumption expenditure, gross private domestic investment, net exports of goods and services, and government consumption expenditure

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