NPR

Trump Will Win Again. No Way He'll Win. Be Wary Of 2020 Election Predictions

Don't put too much stock in all those New Year's predictions you're hearing American politics in 2020. The one thing we can safely say is that there's nothing that can be safely said.

Don't put too much stock in all those New Year's predictions you're hearing and seeing about American politics in 2020. Anyone saying they know what will happen is probably just trying to get our attention.

And probably succeeding. We've all fallen for headlines and clickbait proclaiming foreknowledge of events. We do it for sports, the stock market and just about any other outcomes that cannot be foreseen.

That goes for elections — especially for elections – and particularly in a high-stakes, pivotal cycle such as we are in now.

"He's going to win again," solemn voices say, referring to President Trump and the re-election bid he formally launched shortly after his inauguration in 2017.

"There's no way he can win again," say others, with much the same tone of finality and certitude.

Both conclusions come from the same place. No matter how many rational arguments or pieces of evidence are deployed to justify it, these are statements straight from the gut.

Fact is, no one knows or can know what will happen to Trump in 2020

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