The Atlantic

The Democrats Are Blowing This Election

To defeat Trump, the Democratic presidential nominee will have to do more than turn out the base.
Source: Shannon Stapleton / Reuters

A theory for how to win the 2020 presidential election has quickly become conventional wisdom among Democratic campaign strategists and many prominent pundits. It goes like this: The country has become so polarized that swing voters barely exist anymore. Elections are now decided by which side better manages to mobilize its base. So Democrats need to stop worrying about winning over moderates—and confidently move to the left.

Proponents of this “progressive mobilization theory” can point to a few important pieces of evidence. Plenty of liberal policies, for instance, are popular with voters across the political spectrum. , this makes it possible for Democratic presidential candidates

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