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  • The Atlantic

    Trump Could Win Again

    He’s unpopular, scandalous, and a bigot, and we may be sliding into a recession. But that might not matter.
    by Yascha Mounk Aug 20, 2019 4 minutes
    Source: Bryan Woolston / Reuters

    There are many reasons President Donald Trump might lose reelection in 2020. He is deeply unpopular. Most Americans abhor his bigotry. His administration has been plagued by all manner of scandals. He has failed to live up to his many grandiloquent promises. The country may be sliding into a recession.

    Put all of this together, and it’s easy to imagine Democrats riding a big blue wave to the White House next year. But I fear that it is somewhat more likely that Trump will be able to declare victory on November 3, 2020.

    Trump’s approval ratings are the most commonly used metric for how likely he is to win, for example, more Americans believe he is doing a poor job as president than believe he is doing a good one: About 54 percent disapprove of his performance. Only 42 percent approve of it.

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