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    How To Spot The Signs Of A Coming Blue Wave

    Democrats are hoping that President Trump's unpopularity propels them back into power in Congress. There's lots of prognosticating, but here's what you should actually watch for.
    by Domenico Montanaro May 14, 2018 5 minutes
    A surfer rides the barrel of a wave during a late afternoon on the North shore of Oahu, Hawaii.

    It's the thick of primary season, and the looming question that hangs over the 2018 midterms is — will Democrats take control of Congress?

    NPR has reported on elements of potential answers to that question and shown some reasons for Republicans to find shelter — from the record number of GOP retirements, the record number of women running and special election victories to early strong Democratic turnout and continued division among the Republican base.

    All of those things continue to be signs of a potential wave, but with the primaries kicking into high gear — about 130 congressional races will be set in the next month — here are some tips on how to spot a blue wave and how big it could be (or not):

    The landscape

    Democrats need to pick up a net of 23 seats in the House and two in the Senate to win.

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