India Today

Will Nawaz Sharif be jailed? Look at Pakistan, after Mian Sahib

The former Pak PM faces conviction, but continues to confront the establishment. Will his dynasty split or will he trigger a coup in the imminent turmoil?

It's not coup season in Pakistan. Not yet.

Yes, the Islamic Republic is in the throes of yet another throbbing civil military crisis. Yes, the Americans are at their throats, the IMF is at their door, the Chinese are in their pantry, and ISIS is in their basement.

And yes, Pakistan is in an unprecedented political and administrative mess, with complex constitutional, economic and security turmoil on the horizon.

As the top leadership is gridlocked in a legal and political power struggle primarily revolving around the fate of ousted prime minister Nawaz Sharif and his family, the nuclear armed Chinese ally is suffering through what many observers are calling a governance crisis that could spill over into any of the following scenarios: a fresh election, a judicially driven political purge, macroeconomic insolvency and bankruptcy, an interim, technocratic government, a new wave of terrorism, even a tense standoff, or worse, with India, perhaps even with the US.

But there'll be no coups here, for now. That's because the judges are the new generals, and the generals are the new democrats. As for the democrats the real ones they are all at war, with everyone, even themselves. Most at stake, politically, is the fate of country's longest ruling dynasty.

FIRST FAMILY, FAMILY FIRST

After his disqualification from office by the Supreme Court in July for undeclared income, it was generally thought that Nawaz Sharif would just go away; disappear into the sunset; retire

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