Foreign Policy Magazine

The Thucydides Trap

When one great power threatens to displace another, war is almost always the result—but it doesn’t have to be.

In April, chocolate cake had just been served at the Mar-a-Lago summit when President Donald Trump leaned over to tell Chinese President Xi Jinping that American missiles had been launched at Syrian air bases, according to Trump’s account of the evening. What the attack on Syria signaled about Trump’s readiness to attack North Korea was left to Xi’s imagination.

Welcome to dinner with the leaders who are now attempting to manage the world’s most dangerous geopolitical relationship.

The story is a small one. But as China challenges America’s predominance, misunderstandings about each other’s actions and intentions could lead them into a deadly

You’re reading a preview, subscribe to read more.

More from Foreign Policy Magazine

Foreign Policy Magazine1 min read
Be A Part Of The Inner Circle.
Focus on the journalism on ForeignPolicy.com — and nothing else. Read exclusive Q&A’s driving deeper into the biggest headlines. Access curated reading lists on specific geopolitical topics. Get a free gift subscription to share with anyone you choos
Foreign Policy Magazine2 min read
Multidisciplinary Curriculum and Career Planning Foster Flexibility and Public-Private Sector Transitions
Amid the ever-changing terrain of international affairs careers, Julie Nussdorfer, associate director of global careers at Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), has observed several transformative trends. Notably,
Foreign Policy Magazine6 min readWorld
The End of Prosperity in Israel
No one can say with complete confidence what the long-term effects of the Gaza war and its auxiliary conflicts in the West Bank and on the border with Lebanon will be for Israel. But even today, it is safe to assume that the war marks the end of a 20

Related Books & Audiobooks