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Is the Kenyan election already decided?

Is the Kenyan election already decided?

FromMore or Less: Behind the Stats


Is the Kenyan election already decided?

FromMore or Less: Behind the Stats

ratings:
Length:
9 minutes
Released:
Mar 4, 2013
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Kenya votes for its next President on 4th March. The opinion polls show that it is neck-and-neck between the two main candidates but an influential Kenyan political scientists has warned that the polls are wrong. Mutahi Ngunyi’s predicting a win for Uhuru Kenyatta and his Jubilee Coalition because of what he describes as ‘the tyranny of numbers’ - there are simply more registered voters from the ethnic groups that are likely to support Kenyatta than those for his rival Raila Odinga. But will Kenyans vote along ethnic lines – Ruth Alexander finds out.
Also, was the Pope the subject of divine intervention when lightning struck St Peter’s Basilica at the Vatican just after he announced he was stepping down? Or was it just a coincidence. More or Less looks at the chances of this occurring.
Released:
Mar 4, 2013
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Tim Harford and the More or Less team try to make sense of the statistics which surround us. From BBC Radio 4