58 min listen
112: Home Sales Forecast and Returning to a 1990s Housing Market w/Mark Fleming
FromOn The Market
ratings:
Length:
46 minutes
Released:
Jun 9, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
Home sales have been falling fast since interest rates rose last year. After a spree of house shopping and record-low mortgage rates, homeowners sit comfortably in 2023. They’ve got affordable monthly payments, a home that is (probably) bigger or better than their last one, and expect a potential recession sometime soon. So why would today’s homeowners give up all that security to buy in a hazardous market? Mark Fleming from First American has been trying to uncover the answer.
Mark serves as Chief Economist for First American, one of the United State’s leading title companies. Mark’s job is to predict and forecast the housing market, home sales, and buyer activity. And in 2023’s topsy-turvy economy, this is becoming a little more difficult. Mark has built a model to help predict home sales, looking at key factors like household formation, affordability, current mortgage rates, demographics, and more. And he’s got some interesting findings to share.
The days of low interest rates and property upgrading may be over. Homeowners are now staying in their houses for twice as long, holding off on buying their next home until favorable conditions arise. But, this creates a “prisoner’s dilemma” for home sellers and buyers. With most of the United State’s potential property inventory sitting in the hands of those who refuse to sell, we’re answering, “What happens next?” in this episode.
In This Episode We Cover
Home sales predictions and what happens when there is NO available inventory
Loose monetary policy and how low interest rates caused an affordability spike
Two critical factors that drive the market to soar or slump
Home turnover and why today’s homeowner is “locked-in” and refusing to move
The “prisoner’s dilemma” that’s caused the housing market to stagnate
A return to the “new normal” and what future homebuying could look like
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Agent
Find a Lender
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Inventory Shortage Could Continue As Interest Rates Rise and Homeowners Feel “Locked-In”
Connect with Mark:
First American
REconomy Podcast
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-112
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mark serves as Chief Economist for First American, one of the United State’s leading title companies. Mark’s job is to predict and forecast the housing market, home sales, and buyer activity. And in 2023’s topsy-turvy economy, this is becoming a little more difficult. Mark has built a model to help predict home sales, looking at key factors like household formation, affordability, current mortgage rates, demographics, and more. And he’s got some interesting findings to share.
The days of low interest rates and property upgrading may be over. Homeowners are now staying in their houses for twice as long, holding off on buying their next home until favorable conditions arise. But, this creates a “prisoner’s dilemma” for home sellers and buyers. With most of the United State’s potential property inventory sitting in the hands of those who refuse to sell, we’re answering, “What happens next?” in this episode.
In This Episode We Cover
Home sales predictions and what happens when there is NO available inventory
Loose monetary policy and how low interest rates caused an affordability spike
Two critical factors that drive the market to soar or slump
Home turnover and why today’s homeowner is “locked-in” and refusing to move
The “prisoner’s dilemma” that’s caused the housing market to stagnate
A return to the “new normal” and what future homebuying could look like
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Agent
Find a Lender
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Inventory Shortage Could Continue As Interest Rates Rise and Homeowners Feel “Locked-In”
Connect with Mark:
First American
REconomy Podcast
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-112
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Released:
Jun 9, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
21: A Supply-Starved Market and How Investors Are Already Taking Advantage: Is some alleviation from inflated home prices headed our way? Over the past two years, sellers have taken the housing market for a ride, getting dozens of offers on every listed house. No matter the condition, area, or age of the property, buyers were filling open houses every weekend just to make an over-asking offer on what should be a reasonably priced house. Now, the tables are starting to turn, and as a result, sellers are getting desperate. Interest rates are rising and buyers are backing out of the market by the dozen. Instead of twenty offers in a weekend, sellers are looking at two, and none of them are over asking price. This is good news for home buyers and great news for investors, as deals are becoming easier to come by while the housing market hysteria takes a breather. We brought the entire On The Market panel in this week to see where they’re finding deals, how their own markets are fairing, and by On The Market