64 min listen
106: A BIG 2023 Economic Forecast from Harvard's Jason Furman
FromOn The Market
ratings:
Length:
33 minutes
Released:
May 22, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
Rising interest rates, a new recession, high unemployment, and much more economic uncertainty could be on the way. But what can you expect after such a turbulent past few years? The US took significant financial and monetary moves to prevent an economic collapse in 2020, but as a result, mistakes were made. In 2023, we’re paying for the economic “errors” of our past, and many of them haven’t even caught up to us yet.
Jason Furman, Harvard professor and former Director of the National Economic Council under President Obama, brings both optimism and realism to share. In Jason’s eyes, the “supply-based inflation” argument isn’t holding up, and something much more severe is causing prices to rise as rapidly as they are. So how do we get out of this bind? Jason shares the scenarios that would have to unfold for us not to end up in a recession or with higher interest rates, but reality foreshadows something much different.
When will we break out of this constant cycle of price hikes? What has to happen for the Fed to finally take its foot off the gas? Will today’s strong employment last, or do jobs need to be cut for the economy to recover? Stick around to hear these questions, and many more, answered by one of the world’s leading economists.
In This Episode We Cover
2023 economic forecasts from one of the world’s leading economists
The true cause of today’s rampant inflation and what could finally force it to stop
The “wage-price persistence” and why most people are wrong about price hikes
Economic “errors” of 2020 and 2021 that we’ll be paying back for years to come
Rising rates and whether or not the Fed is really done with bumping basis points
Unemployment and how long today’s strong job market will actually last
Consequences of the US defaulting on its debt and the scary-enough odds that it could happen
And So Much More!
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Kathy's Instagram
“Catastrophic” Consequences of the US Defaulting on Its Debt
The Fed Starts Playing “Mind Games” as Rates Rise, Home Prices Fall
Connect with Jason:
Jason's Twitter
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-106
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
Jason Furman, Harvard professor and former Director of the National Economic Council under President Obama, brings both optimism and realism to share. In Jason’s eyes, the “supply-based inflation” argument isn’t holding up, and something much more severe is causing prices to rise as rapidly as they are. So how do we get out of this bind? Jason shares the scenarios that would have to unfold for us not to end up in a recession or with higher interest rates, but reality foreshadows something much different.
When will we break out of this constant cycle of price hikes? What has to happen for the Fed to finally take its foot off the gas? Will today’s strong employment last, or do jobs need to be cut for the economy to recover? Stick around to hear these questions, and many more, answered by one of the world’s leading economists.
In This Episode We Cover
2023 economic forecasts from one of the world’s leading economists
The true cause of today’s rampant inflation and what could finally force it to stop
The “wage-price persistence” and why most people are wrong about price hikes
Economic “errors” of 2020 and 2021 that we’ll be paying back for years to come
Rising rates and whether or not the Fed is really done with bumping basis points
Unemployment and how long today’s strong job market will actually last
Consequences of the US defaulting on its debt and the scary-enough odds that it could happen
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Agent
Find a Lender
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
“Catastrophic” Consequences of the US Defaulting on Its Debt
The Fed Starts Playing “Mind Games” as Rates Rise, Home Prices Fall
Connect with Jason:
Jason's Twitter
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-106
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
Released:
May 22, 2023
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
10: How to Prepare for a Recession (and Profit!) in 2022: One man knows how to prepare for a recession arguably better than anyone else. He’s been able to build wealth during multiple different economic cycles, not only surviving but thriving in the process. With decades of experience in real estate investing, advising, and mentoring, J Scott, author of Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing, stands as a testament that not everyone gets washed away when an economic tsunami comes crashing down.We spend some time asking J about how we got to the current economic stage we’re in, what the economy looks like today, and how we can prepare ourselves for the future of high interest rates, falling asset prices, and real estate steals of the century. If you’re feeling anxious about investing in 2022, J Scott is the guest you should listen to. For our due diligence portion of the show, we’ll be asking James Dainard, Jamil Damji, and Kathy Fettke all about recession prep and rebalancing your real e by On The Market