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Fed Chief: Housing Market Is Headed for a “Correction”

Fed Chief: Housing Market Is Headed for a “Correction”

FromReal Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast


Fed Chief: Housing Market Is Headed for a “Correction”

FromReal Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

ratings:
Length:
4 minutes
Released:
Sep 23, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

The Federal Reserve followed through with its plan for another rate hike this week. Fed officials hiked short term rates by three-quarters of a percent. Fed Chief Jerome Powell also reiterated his determination to bring inflation levels back down to 2% with more rate hikes and warned that the housing market is headed for a “correction.”Hi, I'm Kathy Fettke and this is Real Estate News for Investors. If you like our podcast, please subscribe and leave us a review. Powell said after the September policy meeting: “Our expectation has been we would begin to see inflation come down, largely because of supply side healing. We haven’t. We have seen some supply side healing but inflation has not really come down.” (1)Fed Hikes Short-Term RatesThe Federal Open Market Committee raised the Federal Funds rate to a range of 3 to 3.25%. It’s the third consecutive .75% rate hike and brings the overnight lending rate to the highest it’s been since early 2008.The central bank started raising rates in March from a level that was close to zero. Fed officials say they plan to continue to raise rates until they reach a “terminal rate” of 4.6%. That would be a range of 4.5% to 4.75%. They are expecting to raise the funds level another 1.25% this year with two rate hikes. That leaves one quarter point rate hike for next year.Personal Consumption Index GoalThe FOMC is hoping that rate hikes will push the Personal Consumption Expenditure index or PCE down to 5.4% this year, and the core rate to 4.5%. They aren’t expecting to get inflation down to a target rate of 2.1% until 2025.Powell says: “My main message has not changed since Jackson Hole. The FOMC is strongly resolved to bring inflation down to 2%, and we will keep at it until the job is done.” He believes that a recession is possible, but that no one knows for sure if this will take place, or how significant it will be. (1)Shelter Costs A Big Part of InflationHe did warn that the fight against inflation, which has made homeownership unaffordable for many Americans, will likely lead to a housing market correction. Shelter costs have been a key component of the recent inflation run-up. That includes both the purchasing of homes and paying rent. Powell said that home prices have been rising at an unsustainably fast level, and that created a big imbalance between supply and demand. He said: “For the longer term what we need is supply and demand to get better aligned so housing prices go up at a reasonable level, at a reasonable pace, and people can afford houses again.” (2)Shelter Inflation Will Be Slow to FallBut he doesn’t expect that to happen quickly. He says: “I think that shelter inflation is going to remain high for some time. We’re looking for it to come down, but it’s not exactly clear when that will happen. It may take some time. Hope for the best, plan for the worst.” Which is why the central bank is now hiking rates aggressively.As for the GDP, and a slower economy, Fed officials revised their GDP estimate for this year to just .2% and 1.8% for next year.We'll be reporting on how this will further affect the housing market, and specifically which markets will feel it the most, in upcoming episodes.To read more about this, check for links in the show notes at newsforinvestors.com. While you are there, please sign up for a free membership to RealWealth.com. You’ll find hundreds of podcasts, webinars, and articles on a wide range of topics that include the housing market, the economy, and real estate investing. And please remember to subscribe to our podcast, and leave a review!Thank you! And thanks for listening. I'm Kathy Fettke.Links:1 - https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/21/fed-rate-hike-september-2022-.html2 - https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/21/real-time-updates-of-the-federal-reserves-big-rate-decision-and-powells-press-conference.html
Released:
Sep 23, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Don’t get caught off guard by market crashes that can take all your money down with them. And don’t miss out on markets where you can build wealth practically overnight. Real Estate News for Investors with Kathy Fettke is the premiere source for savvy real estate investors who want the edge. Stay up-to-date on new laws, regulations, and economic events that affect real estate. Topics include: market trends, economic analysis that affects housing prices, updates on the best rental markets for investing in single-family rentals or multi-unit rentals, turn-key housing standards, the fate of the highly revered 1031 exchange and other tax law affecting investors, self-directed IRA investing and 401k changes, where rents and property values are rising or falling, flipping risks, new Dodd-Frank rules regarding private lending and financing standards, areas with job losses vs job growth, areas that are overbuilt or over-supplied versus areas with low supply and high demand, and how to avoid real estate scams. We'll bring you the latest reports from organizations like the National Association of Realtors, Realty Trac, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Zillow, Trulia, Redfin, Rent Range, Property Radar, the Norris Group, Peter Schiff, Robert Kiyosaki’s Rich Dad, Suse Orman, Bigger Pockets, Dave Ramsey and more. And we'll help you interpret the data in terms that make sense for your real estate goals, and portfolio. Grow and protect your wealth by staying on the forefront of economic data analysis, expert opinions, innovative investing strategies and profitable investment opportunities. We'll share all the top real estate news stories and the best trade secrets investors should know, so you can stay ahead of the curve and make fully informed real estate decisions. Host Kathy Fettke is Co-CEO of the Real Wealth Network, author of Retire Rich with Rentals and host of the Real Wealth Show on iTunes. She brings decades of media and real estate investing experience, offers her own viewpoints on particular topics, and taps into her network of real estate experts for real world news updates created just for investors like you. Get the real news on real estate on The Real Estate News For Investors Show!