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SI186: Crisis Alpha & My Trend Following Thesis ft. Richard Brennan

SI186: Crisis Alpha & My Trend Following Thesis ft. Richard Brennan

FromTop Traders Unplugged


SI186: Crisis Alpha & My Trend Following Thesis ft. Richard Brennan

FromTop Traders Unplugged

ratings:
Length:
85 minutes
Released:
Apr 3, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Today, Rich and I discuss the Q1 Trend Following performance and how it turned out to be one of the best calendar quarters for the SG Trend and SG CTA indices. We also dive into my own "thesis" about trend following in a De-Globalized world and why I believe that we may be returning to the golden era of trend following, like in the 1970s, 80s and 90s. As usual we debated a few great questions from our community, relating to Volatility Targeting and how to manage your Stop-Loss. A lively episode for sure!
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In this episode, we discuss:
Interest Rates and the current Bear Market in Bonds
Our slighltly different definitions of the term "Crisis Alpha"
The concern's Rich has for the World, and what that means for Trend Following
The impact on Trend Following of a De-Globalization of the World
The difference between initial and trailling stops, and when to use them
What software to use to backtest your systems
Whether dynamically adjusting your position size during a trade is better or worse than keeping it static

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IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate (here).
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/flavor (here).
Learn more about the Trend Barometer https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/ (here).
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/reviewttu (iTunes) or https://open.spotify.com/show/2OnOvLbIV3AttbFLxuoaBW (Spotify) so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rich on https://twitter.com/RichB118 (Twitter).
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 – Intro
03:09 – Weekly recap from Niels
05:22 - Update on Rich's Battleship
15:35 - Crisis Alpha...yes but much more
21:40 - My Trend Following Thesis
37:24 - Q1, Andrew: Could you all define the use of a trailing vs initial stop in systems you use?
52:25 - Q2, Nicolas: Do you know any affordable back testing systems, other than Excel?
56:45 – Q3, Brian: If you Vol adjust your positions...when, if ever, do you re-establish your full position if volatility collapses?
01:21:26 – Industry Performance Update

Copyright © 2022 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ebooks/ (Click Here)
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/ (Click Here)
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ (Click Here)
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Released:
Apr 3, 2022
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Join Niels Kaastrup-Larsen as he explores the world of finance and investing, through weekly conversations with the most interesting and experienced investors, economists, traders & thought leaders. Learn from their experiences, their successes, and their failures. We don't want you to think like them...but we do want to make you think! Stay up-to-date on https://toptradersunplugged.com