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SI132: Overcoming Recency Bias for Better Decision Making ft. Mark Rzepcyznski

SI132: Overcoming Recency Bias for Better Decision Making ft. Mark Rzepcyznski

FromTop Traders Unplugged


SI132: Overcoming Recency Bias for Better Decision Making ft. Mark Rzepcyznski

FromTop Traders Unplugged

ratings:
Length:
89 minutes
Released:
Mar 21, 2021
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss Jerome Powell’s recent speech and how central banks can often confuse markets, the potential of Artificial Intelligence in systematic investing, whether or not holding government bonds is a good idea, the recent rise in interest rates and what it means for the stock market, the relationship between correlations and volatility, why policy makers should avoid trying to engineer future expectations, how recency-bias affects our decision making,  complexity versus complicatedness, robotic systematic investing versus human discretionary investing, how to tell the difference between a systematic and discretionary trader by looking at returns only, and why ‘low-cost’ funds can often end up being more expensive than normal.
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In this episode, we discuss:
Whether artificial intelligence has a place in systematic investing
Interest rates and their effects on the trading markets
How correlations can increase volatility
The benefits of a more 'hands-off' approach to policy-making
The common perils of 'recency bias'
Spotting a discretionary trader just by looking at returns
The hidden costs behind supposed 'low cost' funds

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Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/reviewttu (iTunes) or https://open.spotify.com/show/2OnOvLbIV3AttbFLxuoaBW (Spotify) so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Mark on https://twitter.com/mrzepczynski (Twitter).
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 – Intro
03:14 – Macro recap from Niels
06:36 – Weekly review of performance
57:46 – Q1; Mike: How useful do you find capture ratios when analysing performance?
1:08:29 – Q2; Andy: What do you think about utilising a CTA or Trend Following ETF?
1:14:42 – Q3; Craig: Do you think CTAs are missing out by not trading small-cap crypto, and do you think they will eventually?
01:24:03 – Benchmark performance update
01:12:25 – Recommended listening or reading this week: https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/something-of-value.pdf%22%20%5Ct%20%22_blank (Howard Marks’ latest memo)
01:25:25 – Recommended listening or reading this week: https://www.macrovoices.com/954-macrovoices-263-juliette-declercq-why-equities-stand-on-much-stronger-ground-than-consensus-seem-to-believe (MacroVoices Podcast featuring Juliette Declercq)
Copyright © 2022 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ebooks/ (Click Here)
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy!...
Released:
Mar 21, 2021
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Join Niels Kaastrup-Larsen as he explores the world of finance and investing, through weekly conversations with the most interesting and experienced investors, economists, traders & thought leaders. Learn from their experiences, their successes, and their failures. We don't want you to think like them...but we do want to make you think! Stay up-to-date on https://toptradersunplugged.com