Few things arouse among free market believers and enthusiasts of decentralization as prediction markets do. By allowing people to bet on any range of outcomes they promise more efficient markets and better information. Few people have worked with as much dedication on making the promise of prediction markets a reality as Martin Köppelmann.
After founding the Bitcoin prediction market Fairlay, he turned to Ethereum and started the Ethereum-based prediction market Gnosis. We discussed his views on the DAO heist, differences between Fairlay and Gnosis and their upcoming tokensale.
Topics covered in this episode:

How the DAO heist happened and what we should learn from it
The Bitcoin prediction market Fairlay
From Fairlay to Gnosis: Building a prediction market on Ethereum
The Gnosis architecture
Gnosis’ planned crowdsale and DAO
Gnosis business model and what will determine the value of the tokens
The difference between Gnosis and Augur

Episode links:

Gnosis Website
Gnosis Forum
Fairlay
7 Reasons to Make a Prediction
The Big TheDAO Heist FAQ - Part 1
The Big TheDAO Heist FAQ - Part 2
EB98 - Robin Hanson: Futarchy and Prediction Markets episode

This episode is hosted by Brian Fabian Crain and Meher Roy. Show notes and listening options: epicenter.tv/139