Affine Arithmetic-Based Methods for Uncertain Power System Analysis
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About this ebook
- Provides a uniquely comprehensive review of affine arithmetic in both its core theoretical underpinnings and their developed applications to power system analysis
- Details the exemplary benefits derived by the deployment of affine arithmetic methods for uncertainty handling in decision-making processes
- Clarifies arithmetical complexity and eases the understanding of illustrative methodologies for researchers in both power system and decision-making fields
Alfredo Vaccaro
Alfredo Vaccaro received his MSc degree cum laude and commendation in Electronic Engineering from the University of Salerno, Italy, and his PhD in Electrical and Computer Engineering from University of Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. He was formerly research fellow at the Power System Group of the Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DIIIE) of University of Salerno. He then joined the Electric Power Systems at the Department of Engineering, Faculty of Engineering of University of Sannio, where he is now Associate Professor. He has also been chair of the Research & Development Committee of the Opera21 Group SpA in the field of Advanced Information and Communications Technologies for Smart Grids, Task Leader of the strategic scientific initiatives of the Research Consortium on Agent Systems in the field of Smart Energy Networks, and Scientific Director of the bureau of the Research Centre on Pure and Applied Mathematics at the Department of Engineering, University of Sannio.
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Affine Arithmetic-Based Methods for Uncertain Power System Analysis - Alfredo Vaccaro
Chapter 1: Uncertainty management in power systems
State of the art and enabling methodologies
Abstract
The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources, the expected electrification of transports, and the volatility of energy prices require new mathematical models to reliably operate modern power systems. Deterministic methods are becoming unsuitable to represent real systems, which are affected by an increasing amount of uncertainty sources. This chapter provides an overview of the main mathematical methodologies based on both probabilistic and non-probabilistic methods to handle uncertainty sources in power system analysis.
Keywords
Uncertainty; Affine arithmetic; Probabilistic methods; Uncertain power system analysis
Power system operators require sophisticated numerical tools aimed at analyzing the current and the expected operation states, guaranteeing secure and reliable grid operation. In this context, numerical programming represents the mathematical backbone supporting the most fundamental power engineering tools, such as Power Flow (PF) and Optimal Power Flow (OPF) analyses, state estimation, voltage and frequency regulation, and contingency analysis. These studies could also support the development of advanced operations tools for integrated systems management, such as reliability and resilience assessment of multi-carrier energy systems, or optimal energy flow management in distributed energy hubs, which are relevant applications in the light of the evolution of modern power grids towards more integrated, smarter, and sustainable