Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian Statistics: Getting Started With Statistics

By Lee Baker

Bayes' Theorem is hard.

Is it, though?

 

If you flick through any of the other books on Bayesian statistics you'll get the distinct impression that you'll have a lot of really hard maths to do, and it can be really intimidating.

 

But is that what Bayesian stats is really all about?

If you're wondering whether you should have a look at Bayesian statistics to see if it's right for you, then Bayes' Theorem and Bayesian Statistics in the Getting Started With Statistics series is your first port of call.

 

If what you need is a short guide to getting started, a snappy little non-threatening introduction to Bayes' Theorem and Bayesian Statistics that dispels the biggest myths, answers the most frequently asked questions and inspires you to take the next steps in your journey, then look no further.

 

Bayes' Theorem and Bayesian Statistics is that guide.

 

This book is not written for statisticians. Nor is it written by a statistician.

A Physicist by trade, and a self-taught statistician, I may have worked (and taught) as a statistician for several years but I have my own struggles with statistics, so I understand where the hard bits are. Better still, I know how to explain them to others in plain English without using difficult to understand technical terminology.

That's what you can expect in this book.

 

First, I'll explain what Bayes' Theorem is in simple terms.

Then you'll move on to understanding what conditional probability is and why you don't need it if you want to find a parking spot, but you do if you're playing cards (and you want to win).

You'll learn about Prior and Posterior probabilities, and use them to work out if you need to take a brolly to the beach with you (spoiler alert – I live in Scotland. I always need to take a brolly to the beach!).

Then I'll bust a few myths about what Bayesian statistics is – and what it isn't.

 

By this point you'll have made up your mind about whether you want to go further, so I'll show you how to take your next steps.

 

Bayes' Theorem and Bayesian Statistics makes no assumptions about your previous experience and is perfect for beginners and the Bayes-curious!

 

Discover the world of Bayes' Theorem and Bayesian Statistics. Get this book, TODAY!

• Language: English
• Publisher: CSI Publishing
• Release date: Nov 30, 2020
• ISBN: 9781393267782

Book preview

Preface

This is a short book.

There are lots of other books out there about Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian statistics, but in truth most of them are pretty difficult to read – they are written by statisticians for statisticians. Some of them are great, and others less so, and if you want to be an expert in Bayes’ Theorem then you’ll probably want to read some or all of them.

Most people that have to do statistics, though, aren’t statisticians, have never had any stats training and never will. For these people, reading a statistics book can be a daunting task.

What they need is a short guide to getting started, a snappy little non-threatening introduction to the subject that dispels the biggest myths, answers the most frequently asked questions and inspires them to take the next steps in their journey.

This is that guide.

This book is not written for statisticians. Nor is it written by a statistician. I may have worked as a statistician for several years, but I was actually trained as a Physicist, and these days I have my own Data Science