How Changing World Demographics Affects Your Investments and Careers

By Rainier George Weiner

Using the principles in this book, the individual investor, the small business man, corporate executives and those developing careers, have a unique opportunity to prepare a strategy for the sea changes in investment choices, consumer demand, business opportunities and social changes forthcoming. Not doing so will ensure failure.

At the turn of the 20th Century approximately one out of every three people on earth were of Caucasian or white ancestry. By the year 2000 that number stood at one out of seven. By the end of this century, demography experts predict that number to plunge to one out of twenty. Likewise in the United States, in 1900, approximately nine-tenths of the population was white. By 2000 that number had dropped to seven-tenths. Demographers project that number to be less than one half by 2053 and a little more than a third by the end of the century. The reason? If you were to ask the layman on the street he might respond Its because Africans, Asians, Indians or Middle Easterners are reproducing in large numbers. However, in actuality, the birth rates of these developing populationsthough still at a high levelhave themselves declined over 50 percent in recent years. The core reason for this disproportionate Caucasian decline is their own extraordinarily low birth ratesthe subject of this book.

From the days of early Rome, throughout the reign of the Titans, into the development of constitutional law and the cultural and technological breakthroughs of the 20th Century, indisputably, Caucasians have led the charge and reaped the concomitant high living standards, asset, status, and wealth benefits. This will begin to change by mid century.
Many celebrated authors in the demographics field have written books on this birth decline phenomenon. Some of the more prominent include: Fewer: How the New Demography Will Shape Our Future, by Ben Wattenberg; The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birth Rates Threaten World Prosperity and What to Do About It, by Paul Longman; A Question of Numbers: High Migration, Low Fertility, and the Politics of National Identity by Jay Winters and Michael Teitlebaum; Global Aging and its Economic Consequences by Robert Lee. All of these books delineate clearly the problems associated with birth decline. All note the dramatic consequences particularly amongst Western societies. This book, however, stands alone in giving the philosophical/ideological underlying causes (The 7 basic principles) for these dramatic changes in birth rates since the mid 60s in the United States and the rest of the world. In addition, these publications miss the opportunity to prepare the reader to capitalize on the investment, business and employment effects of this phenomenon. It prepares the reader to adjust his thinking to an age of population decline before the effects leave him behind the curve of change.

• Language: English
• Publisher: AuthorHouse
• Release date: Jul 28, 2014
• ISBN: 9781496914743

Rainier George Weiner

The author graduated from Santa Clara University with a Master’s Degree in Mechanical Engineering and has worked 40 years in the Engineering Field, awarded several patents in the glass fiber-forming process. George, however, has written extensively all his life including 5 other books: Mentor (historical narrative), Long Before Glasnost (history), Living On Lifesavers (memoir), Knee High to Hell (memoir) and How Changing World Demographics Affects your Investments & Careers (financial). Instead of rapaciously focusing only on cement, cold steel and unchangeable physical laws -- the holy grail of engineering -- during off hours and vacations his mind danced with ideas for books: conflicts, crises and resolutions, his own and the experiences of others, real and unreal. The author retired in 2006 giving him more time to focus on writing exclusively. His personal writing now includes the 6 books and a collection of 9 short stories. He concurrently served on the Board of Directors as Secretary and Newsletter contributor for 2 NGO non-profit organizations -- World Runners and Global Partners for Development.

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© 2014 RAINIER GEORGE WEINER. All rights reserved.

No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted by any means without the written permission of the author.

Published by AuthorHouse 07/25/2014

ISBN: 978-1-4969-1566-5 (sc)

ISBN: 978-1-4969-1565-8 (hc)

ISBN: 978-1-4969-1474-3 (e)

Library of Congress Control Number: 2014909513

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Because of the dynamic nature of the Internet, any web addresses or links contained in this book may have changed since publication and may no longer be valid. The views expressed in this work are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher, and the publisher hereby disclaims any responsibility for them.

CONTENTS

Introduction

Chapter 1: A Dying Breed

Chapter 2: Legalized Abortion

Chapter 3: Effective and Moralized Birth Control

Chapter 4: Women’s Liberation, Feminism

Chapter 5: Reduced Social Condemnation of Homosexuality

Chapter 6: Euthanasia

Chapter 7: Disparaging the Institution of Marriage

Chapter 8: Interracial Marriage

Chapter 9: Immediate Economic, Political and Social Effects

Chapter 10: Effects, Europe, and Australia

Chapter 11: USA: How it Affects You & What to do

Chapter 12: Remediation Possibilities, Europe

Chapter 13: Remediation Possibilities USA

Chapter 14: Summary and Conclusions

INTRODUCTION

At the turn of the 20th Century approximately one out of every three people on earth were of Caucasian or white ancestry. By the year 2000 that number stood at one out of seven. By the end of this century, demography experts predict that number to plunge to one out of twenty. Likewise in the United States, in 1900, approximately nine-tenths of the population was white. By 2000 that number had dropped to seven-tenths. Demographers project that number to be less than one half by 2053 and a little more than a third by the end of the century. The reason? If you were to ask the layman on the street he might respond It’s because Africans, Asians, Indians or Middle Easterners are reproducing in excessive numbers. However, in actuality–as documented in this book—the birth rates of these populations, though at higher levels, have themselves declined in most countries by over 50 percent in the last 30 years. The core reason for this disproportionate Caucasian decline is their own extraordinarily low birth rates since the 1970s—the subject of this book.

This book is best understood by first describing what it is not: it is not a racially-motivated book; it is not an anti-immigration book, (if anything, the opposite); It is not a book blaming anyone or any one philosophical doctrine; and not a book to raise a red flag or a call to arms to prevent an undesirable occurrence. It is not a statement, in the words of Al Gore, of an inconvenient truth. Nor is it an attack criticism of the adopted progressive-liberal principles causing this eventual effective extinction of the Caucasian race. Rather, it is the documentation of the effects of the workings of the laws of nature: laws that have dropped species from one-eyed dinosaurs to yellow-jacketed-fruit flies in a well-defined and systematic manner off the world’s landscape for millions of years without disturbing its progress and development. Or, as more relevant to this issue, has lowered species from a developmental-leadership role to a more subservient-existential mode. It does this in response to these specific inescapable and uncompromising natural laws. This book will examine the effects of these laws. It will show how the human developmental experience may simulate a relay race where each of several races or ethnicities carries the leadership baton for a sustained but finite stretch of mankind’s history.

These conclusions are not the ranting of white supremacist skinheads angered by their subconscious feelings of lost racial hegemony. This is not the idle prattle of the pseudo-intellectual elite trying to conjure up erudite arguments against a more diverse culture. Nor is it the invective of neo-conservative, right wing oligarchs fearful of diversity by its very nature. These are the much-analyzed, consistent and unequivocal conclusions and future projections of the most conservative, historically validated and accredited statistical organizations in the world: the United States Census Bureau, the United Nations Population Prospects, the National Center for Health Statistics, the World Health Organization, the United States Department of Immigration and Naturalization, National Vital Statistics and others. Each and every information source has been carefully examined, chosen and documented. The leading experts in the field of demography have been sourced. Their research and conclusions interpret for the reader the economic, social and political effects of the data. The projections are daunting in its implications, Copernican in scope, but as valid as the latest state-of-the-art computer-aided demographic technology allows.

From the days of early Rome, throughout the reign of the Titans, into the development of constitutional law and the cultural and technological breakthroughs of the 20th Century, indisputably, Caucasians have led the charge and reaped the concomitant living standards, asset, status, and wealth benefits. This will change as early as mid-century.

Demography 101 tells us that it takes a total fertility rate, TFR (the number of children born to women ages 14 to 45 in a population) of 2.1 births/woman just to maintain stability in a given population. This book will present in detailed graphic form estimates and future projections of these fertility rates for all races, the white race in particular. It will show Caucasians falling far below these sustaining birth rates in major areas of the world.

These few statistics represent only a small sample of the projections of Caucasian’s disappearance from the world’s landscape in future decades. The first chapter will present them in detailed graphic form.

Less than a half century past, Paul Ehrlich’s Population Bomb became the mantra of demographic wisdom. People would stand side-by-side without space to turn by the end of the century. Today, birth rates fall so fast in Europe, Japan and other developed regions the up-dates are obsolete before official recording. Even in many of the developing countries fertility rates are dropping precipitously. Though still too high, many register at half their values of just 30 years ago. (1)

Many celebrated authors in the demographics field have written books on this birth decline phenomenon. Some of the more prominent include: Fewer: How the New Demography Will Shape Our Future, by Ben Wattenberg; The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birth Rates Threaten World Prosperity and What to Do About It, by Paul Longman; A Question of Numbers: High Migration, Low Fertility, and the Politics of National Identity by Jay Winters and Michael Teitlebaum; Global Aging and its Economic Consequences by Robert Lee. All of these books delineate clearly the problems associated with birth decline. All note the dramatic consequences particularly amongst Western societies.

Chapters 12 and 13 will examine the differences between Europe and America. Europe will feel the pain of depopulation immediately. The chapters will show the failed pro-natal policies in most countries of Europe. Immigration-enhancement programs fizzled before they could become fully instituted in many European countries. Most developed countries have falling population problems due to the seven principles of progressive liberalism irrespective of the issue of race.

All this did not happen by accident. Nor did it occur due to natural causes. It came about precisely due to the efforts of organized progressive activist groups and their sympathizers in select geographic locations in the world. Chapters two through eight will examine in detail each of the seven principles of progressive liberalism that have contributed to reductions in fertility. They will show how depopulation disproportionately affects Caucasian, and how it affects the entire world.

The world faces what appears an irresolvable dilemma. By every vestige of moral doctrine, by every code of ethics and justice, by the basic principles of democracy and inalienable birth rights, how could one assert that women did not have the right to pursue all of the professional occupations and opportunities for self realization that men do. That they should be restricted from building their careers on a level playing field and not make every decision based on the greatest probability of success. That they should not have the choice to compete unfettered by the distractions of childbearing and released from the confines of the home and its exclusive child-raising duties. Certainly no one accepting American principles of the rights of all to the pursuit of happiness in whatever form it takes could deny women those rights. Herein leis the inescapable paradox: how can that justifiable choice to exercise those rights be reconciled with the knowledge that it causes immediate economic harm and eventual extinction of the population—a violation of the first and Cardinal law of nature, preservation of the species. The dilemma presents two totally unacceptable alternatives.

For a satisfactory solution to this dilemma, the playing field must change. Neither of the two adversarial positions will change. Immigration has its limits as the world-wide solution in terms of desirability and continuity. `Chapters 13 and 14 will examine various pro-natal policies tried in some countries. Various authors in the field of demographics will give their solutions for fertility enhancement programs. Most of the programs attempted involved tax incentives, day care for the working mothers, paid leave from work, full daytime schooling, direct payments per child from the government and other incentives aimed at making it possible for working mothers to have more children.

The author believes these policies, which categorically failed in other countries, addressed the wrong action motive. These programs made it more convenient for women to have children. They attempted to give women the ability to have a family and work if she so choose. The policies should rather address replacing what the entertainment industry and the news media have excoriated from the life pursuits of so many 21st Century men and women—the "desire" to have children; desire will create the ability. Chapter 14 suggests how this may happen.

Birth rates will continue to fall, the greatest taking place in the developing countries. They have the larger (remaining) distance to fall. Some will become developed countries. Note that demographers once considered China as a developing country. Today its economy threatens to pass the United States. When birth rates drop below or close to sustaining levels in these developing countries, even immigration will end a possible solution to Europe’s depopulation and the United States’ aging population problems.

The small embattled nation of Israel faces a particular challenge. Who of adequate age cannot remember how the armies of Israel marched almost unchallenged throughout the Middle East if provoked to do so in the ’60s or ’70s. In the 6 Day War, June 5 to June 10, 1967, they literally swept over the scourged Palestinian Armies at top armored vehicle speed. In recent years, they find it difficult to defeat a small Hezbollah group in a nearby nation. In those years the streets of Israel teemed with young men and women in the 17-25 year-old age range. Today, old men cluster around small tables in wine parlors and exchange tales of past heroism.

And who cannot remember the dynamo of business enterprise that Japan epitomized throughout the mid 20th Century. Since the mid ’80s their financial programs go through reform and revision in hope of obtaining solvency. Many developing countries lead them in GDP growth. Why? A weak Yen, faulty financial practices, or perhaps insufficient access to raw materials? How about a birth rate in the 1.3-1.5 TFR range since the early ’60s. Note how Japan legalized abortion over 15 years prior to the United States.

With birth rates below replacement levels, who buys the new homes, cars or refrigerators? Who fills the street with fresh new customers every Saturday morning? Or who grows the new businesses to service the towns’ infrastructures? And who supports the aging population’s pensions with ever-increasing tax revenues?

This depopulation scenario has no historical or anthropological precedence. From the onset of biological life, every surviving specie had the inherent propensity, natural inclination and biological capability to grow its population. This characteristic dominated all other instincts, urges or physiological dynamics. If not, by the laws of natural selection, the specie did not survive. Aside from pestilence, flood, epidemic diseases, draughts, wars, ice ages, animal predators, fires or other natural or mankind-induced catastrophes, continuous, sustained population decline has never occurred. Moreover, these temporary catastrophes had a finite time span and population growth soon returned. We therefore have no model to view and assess as to how to proceed or adjust. We have no historical period or age of long term (and deliberate) population decline to analyze. It creates an entire new context and meaning for the word unnatural.

Chapter 2 will take up the subject of immigration. It will document varied opinions. Despite heated debate on both sides of the issue, indisputably, as noted by several of the quoted demographic experts, America immigrates better than any country on earth. That should not come as a surprise. The United States is a country of immigrants. (2) We have done more of it than any nation and will continue to do so.

Exclusively due to immigration, the United States population will continue to grow—though much more modestly—over the next several decades. Europe will not. Their population will drop by over 18 percent over the next four decades. (3) Immigration for virtually all of the countries of Europe transpires with wrenching spasms, held breath, and in numbers so small that it does little to offset the dramatically low fertility in most countries. For America, legal immigration acts as the long rope and life preserver rescuing the country from the negative economic effects of an aging population and a low itinerant birth rate.

Chapter 10 will show how population growth equates to economic growth and prosperity. A nation’s Gross Domestic Product and per-capita income measure its standard of living more accurately than any other economic statistic. During the 19th Century world population grew at only one-sixth its value at 1800. Throughout the century per-capita income slowed to virtually no significant gain. During the 20th Century world population grew a mammoth 23 fold. (4) During that period, per-capita income grew 14 fold and Gross Domestic Product grew an astounding 300 fold. (5) World prosperity flourished and the standard of living improved in almost every country on earth, developed or undeveloped. World population, projected to rise lethargically beginning the 21st Century, peak midway, and then fall the remainder of the millennium, underscores the world’s negative future economic potential. Tangential to the skin-color issue, the world faces a serious demographic challenge. Later chapters will offer the author’s and other experts in the field possible solutions,

One might falsely assume that with a declining population, less workers competing for employment in the labor pool would lead to lower unemployment. Unfortunately, less population reduces the number of users of goods and services, disproportionately reducing the number of jobs created raising unemployment.

Preceding chapters explain the root causes of the explanative situation in the world markets and economic universe. Chapter 12 and 13 will outline in detail how individuals can position themselves to profit from the demographic changes as investors, business owners and employees of large corporations. The chapter will enhance the opportunities for individual managing their 401K shares, their IRA or their company stock investment portfolios. The ability to anticipate financial and marketplace changes will make or break the returns on their investments. Small business entrepreneurs will gain insight on which areas of the economic landscape to enter and which to avoid.

So what precipitated this epic change from world-wide fecundity prior to 1965 to ever-decreasing birth rates thereafter? Some argue that the population’s shift from an agrarian to a growing city-dwelling society has given couples a more-busy lifestyle with less time to mate. In addition, cities make it more difficult to raise children. But hasn’t this shift been going on for millenniums since the industrial revolution in the 1700’s? Others argue that as countries become more developed birth rates naturally go down. But countries did not start becoming more developed in 1965. The process has gone on for thousands of years. In response, chapters 2 through 9 will present the seven principles of progressive liberalism, the root causes of lower birth rates: moralized birth control and legalized abortion, attacks on the Catholic Church, feminism (including women’s liberation), dignifying homosexuality, euthanasia, disparaging the institution of marriage, and the proliferation of interracial marriage.

The chapters will explain how each contributed to the precipitous changes in birth rates in the ’60s and ’70s. How they acted as the perfect storm to change the family goals of both men and women. None of the chapters has as its purpose to either criticize or to eulogize the principles, the couples exercising them, or the advocates promoting them. Those judgments remain the reader’s. The chapters only present its effects on birth rates.

The demographic construct of falling birth rates and aging populations involves two separate but not mutually exclusive issues. The first issue, the effective extinction of the white race, refers to the demographic outcome projected for the year 2100: As stated, Caucasians represent only 3-4 percent of the world’s population, approximately one third of the United States population, and less than half of the 826 million population existent in Europe at the turn of the 21st Century. That small segment of the population cannot control the greater percentage of the world’s wealth, position, political control and physical assets as they do now—not in the representative governments of Europe and the America’s. This is possible only under completely autocratic regimes. We saw what happened in South Africa when European whites held most of the country’s wealth, position and assets but became so sparse in numbers. In a democratic government one of two outcomes will occur: either massive redistribution of wealth, position and influence, or political legislation creating parity for all citizens. In addition, that society will lose its world-wide technological and military leadership. In the author’s opinion, this will resolve itself politically in the United States in an orderly fashion with minimal race-induced economic or social pain. America will merely become more gray. Other analysts disagree.

The other issue pertains to the resulting economic pain of falling birth rates and an aging population—irrespective of race. The book addresses this problem in detail because of its severe consequences and its relationship to the falling white population.

As we will see in chapter 14, Japan and several other non-Caucasian developed countries have also experienced birth rates below population-sustainable levels. They have already felt the concomitant economic pain. As noted previously, Japan legalized abortion as early as 1948. The principles of progressive liberalism affect all populations irrespective of race. The principles, however, disproportionately affect the Caucasian race because the principles originated, nested and became universally implemented initially by them.

Notwithstanding the