How To Write Alternate History
By Grey Wolf
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About this ebook
Grey Wolf
Grey Wolf began writing as a teenager, and has remained consistent ever since in the genres he writes in - Alternate History, Science Fiction, and Fantasy. A poet since his later teens, he now has several published collections and his work has appeared in a number of magazines. Living now in the South Wales valleys, Grey Wolf is a keen photographer and makes use of the wonderful scenery and explosion of nature that is the Welsh countryside.
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How To Write Alternate History - Grey Wolf
Table of Contents
The Role of People
What Makes A Man
Patterns of Population and Settlement
An Exercise in Characterisation
Dead People Can Live Too
Royal Marriages That Never Happened
Naming Conventions
Alternate History Nomenclature
A World Without The Familiar
First Names in Alternate History
Ship Classes in Alternate History
Culture
A Day In The Life
Music in Alternate History
Speech in Historical Fiction
Technology
How Time-Locked is Technology?
Nuclear Weapons in Alternate History
Railway Networks and Companies
Nature
Are Natural Phenomena Fixed?
Forget The Date!
Probability
Statistics and Probability in Alternate History
The Third Butterfly
What Makes A Man
and
Why Use Historical Characters In Alternative History
The internet has a curious way of making you face your past. In 2000, under the name Wolverine, I wrote an essay on Alternate History. Although primarily concerned with the development of technology and the discipline of science, it included the following paragraphs about the use of historical characters in alternate history:-
For example if we diverged in 1914 and avoided the First World War countless millions of people of all nationalities would live who did not - not just those killed by warfare in all its forms , but by the Flu epidemic afterwards and the civil wars in many countries , and probably other conditions we cannot easily foresee - e.g. a natural disaster in the immediate aftermath may have claimed a vastly increased number of victims because no organisations were in any position to intervene.
People who would have married didn't, children who would have been born were not, people who would have met never had the chance, but the converse is also true ! People who did marry, did produce children, did move into an area where they met someone who decided their future would not have gone down this path - with many others, different circumstances, and different immediate-term developments , the effects on the long term can be enormous . . .
The effects of alternate history on the identity of the people who inhabit its pages depend largely upon how deeply a nation is affected by these interpersonal relationships. For example a country which keeps out of historic events and is not largely affected by international events may well see an almost exact replication of reality in its alternate history until such a point as external events impinge heavily upon it. Mongolia is unlikely to be affected in any serious way by there having been no First World War so the generations coming to maturity in the 1940s will be composed of roughly the same personalities as in reality.
As soon as a country is hit by divergent timelines the interpersonal relationships begin to warp and change to an increasingly serious extent. By at the very most twenty years afterwards nobody who would have been born in our reality can hope to have been created except by the most amazing of coincidences, some sort of huge body-chemistry issue if the people involved would have come into contact (e.g. being upper class and attending the same ultimate university), or have been so extremely remote that their coming together is unaffected - but so also is their usually non-existent effect on domestic history , let alone that of the world as a whole.
The speed of this process depends upon the size of the initial change. It may be a linear relationship but is not an equal one - if drawn upon a graph the line would be steep indicating that as time progresses the effects become more and more noticeable. If the initial change is massive the line of change would reflect this by showing a swift sweep off the chart. If the initial change is smaller the line of the graph would sweep slowly at first then accelerate upwards as the cumulative effects and combined inter-relationship effects massive changes in the longer term - e.g. twenty percent of marriage/childbirth changes would be perhaps double that in the next generation , with additions perhaps up to another twenty percent from longer-term effects on pre-existing individuals , and shortly these figures would mean very very very few of the partnerships and children we know twenty to forty years after an event would have any chance whatsoever of coming into being.
Logically, this is the most realistic. Indeed, only the following arguments could be ranged against it on a logical basis :-
If the same two people are married, although the child may result from different circumstances, have different DNA and birthdate at least slightly different, its genetic inheritance will be similar, the atmosphere it grows up in will at least be similar, and it is likely to bear the same name. Most names in past ages had some significance in family past. Others reflected the names of royalty, which by basing their names on certain conventions would be chosen from the same 'pot' of names as historical. Only names based on historical or current figures of note will differ, to the degree that the alternate history has removed some figures or raised others to greatness.
If a marriage is contracted between royalty, or between noble houses, the likelihood of such a match remains high. Alliances, fortunes and war may change the circumstances of their meeting, but if they come into contact other forces are at play. Despite a degree of arrangement, most dynastic marriages occur because in the circles the man and woman move in, they come together, find a mutual attraction and the marriage is approved by their families. Perhaps the coming together has been arranged artificially, but it would still be one of many, most of which fail except for those where attraction occurs. Thus, unless there are reasons in the alternate history to prevent the meeting from occurring, or unless one party is raised higher or smitten lower by events, there exists at least a reasonable chance of their marrying.
Of course, the exceptions accelerate over time. What is almost as likely in the first generation becomes somewhat unlikely in the second, and very surprising in the third. But - unless you have killed an ancestor - it does NOT become impossible
Which leads us into the possible versus the probable. This is not just a debate about who will marry, and who will be born. It is also a debate about whether such a person born will still make something of himself in the alternate history.
This is more complicated than it seems. Not only are the circumstances which led to someone's fame and fortune not going to be the same in the alternate history - they may in fact be completely the opposite. But that does not mean that a determined man would not use these very different opportunities to rise to prominence. Thus the argument that Person X only became famous by Event 1 so if the latter is removed, so is the fame, does not wash. Who is to say that in very different circumstances, Person X may not in fact use Event 2 even if historically inimical to him, in order to further his fortune?
Of course one cannot say that he WOULD, we can only say that he COULD. But, after the immediate Point of Departure, alternate history moves away from probabilities and into the possibilities.
Consider the circumstances where a politician owes his prominence to a friendship with the party leader. If