The Afghanistan Conflict and Australia's Role
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This book unpacks the nature and complexity of the conflict at national and international levels. It makes a critical assessment of the performance of President Hamid Karzai and his government, and the efforts made by the international community, the US and its NATO and non-NATO allies in particular, to stabilise, rebuild and secure Afghanistan as a viable state. In addition, it examines critically the role played by Australia in the conflict.
The conclusions are far-reaching, with relevance to anyone interested in the interconnectedness of many contemporary issues-governance, democratisation, development, the role of the media, and counterinsurgency.
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The Afghanistan Conflict and Australia's Role - Melbourne University Publishing Ltd
Half title
The Afghanistan Conflict and
Australia’s Role
MUP ISLAMIC STUDIES SERIES
The Islamic Studies Series (ISS) is aimed at producing internationally competitive research manuscripts. This series will showcase the breadth of scholarship on Islam and Muslim affairs, making it available to a wide readership. Books in the ISS are based on original research and represent a number of disciplines including anthropology, cultural studies, sociology and political science. Books in the ISS are refereed publications that are committed to research excellence. Submissions on contemporary issues are strongly encouraged. Proposals should be sent to the ISS Editor.
Professor Shahram Akbarzadeh
ISS Editor (shahrama@unimelb.edu.au)
Board of Advisors
Associate Professor Syed Farid Alatas
Department of Sociology, National University of Singapore
Professor Howard V. Brasted
School of Humanities, University of New England
Professor Robert E. Elson
School of History, Philosophy, Religion and Classics, University of Queensland
Professor John Esposito
Director, Prince Alwaleed bin Talal Center for Muslim-Christian Understanding, University Professor of Religion and International Affairs, Georgetown University
Emeritus Professor Riaz Hassan AM, FASSA
ARC Australian Professorial Fellow, Department of Sociology, Flinders University
Professor Robert Hefner
Institute on Culture, Religion and World Affairs, Boston University
Professor Michael Humphrey
Chair, Department of Sociology and Social Policy, School of Philosophical and Historical Inquiry, University of Sydney
Professor William Maley AM
Director, Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy, Australian National University
Professor James Piscatori
Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies (The Middle East and Central Asia), Australian National University
Professor Abdullah Saeed
Sultan of Oman Professor of Arab and Islamic Studies, Director, National Centre of Excellence for Islamic Studies, University of Melbourne
Professor Amin Saikal AM
Director, Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies (The Middle East and Central Asia), Australian National University
Professor Samina Yasmeen
Director, Centre for Muslim States and Societies, School of Social and Cultural Studies, University of Western Australia
Title page
The Afghanistan Conflict and
Australia’s Role
Edited by Amin Saikal
Centre for Arabic and Islamic Studies (CAIS)
(The Middle East and Central Asia)
Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200
Contents
Notes on Contributors
List of Abbreviations
Preface and Acknowledgements
Introduction
Amin Saikal
Part I
A State in Limbo
Amin Saikal
Part II
State, Islam, Ethnicity and Insurgency in Afghanistan
Nazif Shahrani
Mismatching Means and Ends: Strategic Failure in Afghanistan
Hugh White
Part III
Reconstruction: A Critical Assessment
William Maley
The New City of Kabul: Sustainable Peace and Growth
Through Greater Kabul
Mahmoud Saikal
Part IV
The Afghan People: Forgotten and Frustrated
Beth Eggleston
Prospects for Women: Gender and Social Justice
Virginia Haussegger
Part V
Australia’s Political and Military Objectives
Michael J. Kelly and Mark Evans
Curiously Incurious: The Australian Media, the Australian
Military and Afghanistan
Tom Hyland
Public Opinion, Public Affairs and the ADF’s war
in Afghanistan
Kevin Foster
Conclusion
Amin Saikal and Jonathan Cheng
Index
Notes on Contributors
Beth Eggleston is currently the Humanitarian Advocacy Coordinator with Oxfam Australia, after returning from three years working in Afghanistan, most recently with the UN mission focusing on civil–military coordination and humanitarian assistance issues.
Mark Evans is a Lieutenant General and Australian Defence Force Chief of Joint Operations. He previously served as Commander of Joint Task Force 633, where he was responsible for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Kevin Foster is Associate Professor and Head of Communications and Media Studies in the School of English Communications and Performance Studies at Monash University. His recent publications include Lost Worlds: Latin America and the Imagining of Empire (London: Pluto, 2009) and (ed.) What are we doing in Afghanistan? The Military and the Media at War (Melbourne: ASP, 2009).
Virginia Haussegger is an award-winning journalist and presenter of Canberra ABC TV News. In 2010 she joined the national board of UN Women, and received an honorary appointment as Adjunct Professor in the ANZSOG Institute for Governance at the University of Canberra.
Tom Hyland is the International Editor at The Sunday Age, where he edits foreign coverage and writes on diplomatic, defence and security issues. He has been writing on Afghanistan for the past four years.
Michael J. Kelly MP is the Parliamentary Secretary for Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, and was previously the Parliamentary Secretary for Defence Support in the Rudd Labor Government.
William Maley is Professor of Political Science and Foundation Director of the Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy at the Australian National University. His major works include Rescuing Afghanistan (Sydney: University of New South Wales Press, 2006) and The Afghanistan Wars, 2nd ed (New York and London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009).
Amin Saikal is Professor of Political Science and Director of the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies (The Middle East and Central Asia) at the Australian National University. His latest books include Modern Afghanistan: A History of Struggle and Survival (London: I.B. Tauris, 2006) and The Rise and Fall of the Shah: Iran— from Autocracy to Religious Rule, 2nd ed (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2009).
Mahmoud Saikal is a Senior Advisor and the Acting Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Dehsabz City Development Authority, overseeing Afghanistan’s biggest current development project. He served as Deputy Foreign Minister of Afghanistan from 2005–2006.
Nazif Shahrani is Professor of Anthropology, Central Asian and Middle Eastern Studies and Chairman of the Department of Near Eastern Languages and Cultures (NELC) at Indiana University, Bloomington. One of his major publications is The Kirghiz and Wakhi of Afghanistan (Seattle: University of Washington Press, 2002).
Hugh White is Professor of Strategic Studies and Head of the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University. He is also a Visiting Fellow at the Lowy Institute for International Policy.
List of Abbreviations
ACBAR Agency Coordinating Body for Afghan Relief
ADF Australian Defence Force
AFP Australian Federal Police
AIHRC Afghanistan Independent Human Rights Commission
ANA Afghan National Army
ANDMA Afghanistan National Disaster Management Authority
ANDS Afghanistan National Development Strategy
ANSF Afghan National Security Forces
APRP Afghan Peace and Reintegration Programme
AQ Al-Qaeda
AusAID Australian Agency for International Development
AWN Afghan Women’s Network
CDC Community Development Council
COIN Counter-insurgency
COMISAF ISAF Commander
DCDA Dehsabz City Development Authority
DFAT Department of Foreign Affairs & Trade (Australia)
ECC Electoral Complaints Commission (Afghanistan)
IDP Internally displaced person
IEC Independent Election Commission (Afghanistan)
IED Improvised explosive device
ISAF International Security Assistance Force
ISI Intra-Services Intelligence Agency (Pakistan)
JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency
KMA Kabul Metropolitan Area
KMD Kabul Metropolitan Development
MoEW Ministry of Water and Energy (Afghanistan)
MoRR Ministry of Refugees and Returnees (Afghanistan)
MoUD Ministry of Urban Development (Afghanistan)
MoWA Ministry of Women’s Affairs (Afghanistan)
MRTF Mentoring and Reconstruction Task Force (Australia)
NAPWA National Action Plan for Women in Afghanistan
NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NGO Non-governmental organization
NKCD New Kabul City Development
NSP National Solidarity Program
OCHA UN Office for the Coordination for Humanitarian Affairs
OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
OPSEC Operational security
PM&C Office of the Prime Minister & Cabinet (Australia)
PPP Public–private partnership
PR Public relations
PRT Provincial Reconstruction Team
SOTG Special Operations Task Group (Australia)
UN United Nations
UNAMA United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan
UNDP United Nations Development Programme
UNIFEM United Nations Development Fund for Women
USAID United States Agency for International Development
USSR Union of Soviet Socialist Republics
Note
This book has differentiated the ‘old’ pre-9/11 ruling Taliban from the ‘new’ post-9/11 Taliban insurgency with the use of the term ‘neo-Taliban’ for the latter. As such, ‘post-Taliban period’ refers to the period since 9/11, even though the ‘neo-Taliban’ insurgency has strengthened since then. This term ‘neo-Taliban’ is merely used for the sake of clarification, and does not provide any author’s perspective on the organisation or aspirations of the ‘new’ Taliban versus the ‘old’.
Preface and Acknowledgements
This edited volume stems from a conference that the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies (the Middle East and Central Asia)—CAIS—the Australian National University, organised on 22–23 October 2009. The chapters included in this volume have been revised and updated since then. The volume tackles a number of critical dimensions of the Afghan conflict from a range of perspectives. It essentially explains the nature and complexity of the conflict at national and international levels. It makes a critical assessment of the performance of President Hamid Karzai and his government, and the efforts made by the international community, the US and its NATO and non-NATO allies in particular, to stabilise, rebuild and secure Afghanistan as a viable state. In this, it does not attempt to cover every aspect of the Afghan conflict, but only those which are central to a deeper and wider understanding of the conflict. It primarily focuses on three major questions: how and why has Afghanistan reached its present point of crisis? Why has the US-led strategy to transform Afghanistan into a stable and secure state not been successful so far? Has enough been done in support of social justice, gender equality and the reconstruction of the country?
This sets the context for also examining critically the role played by Australia in the conflict. Australia’s military and non-military involvement in Afghanistan in pursuit of what successive Australian governments under Prime Ministers John Howard, Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard have called ‘Australia’s national interests’ have proved to be the largest and most costly since Australia’s participation in the Vietnam War. In addition to material costs in terms of billions of dollars, twenty-three Australian soldiers have so far been killed and more than 160 injured, some of them crippled for life. While Australia’s participation as a close ally of the US has had the support of the two main parties in the country, the same cannot be said about the smaller parties, independents and the public. The Greens and Independents have called for an end to Australia’s military involvement, and a majority of the Australian public has shared this sentiment.
The volume could not have materialised without the support of number of individuals and institutions. My very warm thanks, first of all, go to my research assistant, Jonathan Cheng, who worked tirelessly in getting the papers together and in helping with editing them. I also would like to register my gratitude to Professor James Piscatori, the former Deputy Director of CAIS, Carol Laslett, Kerry Pert and Anita Mack—also all from CAIS—and two of CAIS’s dedicated students, Elizabeth Dimo and Noor Kennedy, for the time and effort that they put in the organisation of the conference. Furthermore, I also wish to register my sincere thanks to AusAID and the Australian Department of Defence for sponsoring the conference. In this, I am especially indebted to the Australian Chief of the Defence Force, Air Chief Marshal Angus Houston, for his support and positive attitude towards the project. Finally, I am thankful to the Australian Research Council as a recipient of one of its linkage grants, and the Australian National University for its generous backing of all my academic endeavours and those of CAIS. This book is dedicated to the suffering Afghan people.
Amin Saikal
February 2011
Map of modern Afghanistan
University of Texas (Perry-Castañada Library Map Collection)
Introduction
Amin Saikal
Afghanistan is at a critical juncture of its transformation from a bloody past over the last thirty years to a possibly stable future, in which the US and its allies, including Australia, have assumed a vital role. It has gained the dubious reputation of being the only country in the world to have been invaded by all three main powers in modern history—Great Britain, the Soviet Union and the United States—all in pursuit of shaping the country according to differing ideological and geopolitical preferences. Whilst Great Britain and the Soviet Union failed, the US and its allies are in the midst of an uphill battle to achieve their objectives.
If one were asked as late as the 1990s whether one day Afghanistan would be subjected to a US-led NATO intervention and so much international attention, one would have probably said only in one’s wildest dreams. It would have been even more unimaginable to foresee a country like Australia deploying troops in Afghanistan and participating in the country’s reconstruction. Yet, this has all happened. In the process, no-one has suffered as much as the people of Afghanistan, many of whom have currently become very disillusioned not only with their own political leadership, but also with the foreign forces, which have not been able to bring them stability, peace or security against a growing insurgency, led by a determined and tenacious but more or less a ragtag militia—the neo-Taliban and their supporters.
The Afghan people, whose psyche and behaviour have historically been influenced by the religion of Islam as a system of beliefs and way of life, have suffered terrible blows in history, but one must take solace from their survival of these blows, with modern Afghanistan maintaining its functionality as a state in one form or another ever since its foundation in the mid-18th century. This is likely to remain the case despite all the turbulence, uncertainty and devastation that the country is currently experiencing. The Afghan people have shown the necessary resilience, tenacity and skills to pull through in very difficult times. They may be able to do it again, provided that their leaders and the international community do not fail them.
It is nonetheless now evident that they have not been served well by their government and its international backers, led by the US. The Hamid Karzai government has proved to be very corrupt, dysfunctional and self-serving, lacking a visionary agenda and the necessary attributes to ensure a better future for the Afghan people, a majority of whom continue to live in abject poverty, insecurity and uncertainty. They suffer from illiteracy and curable diseases, as well as a lack of basic sanitation, infrastructure and employment opportunities for a decent life. Since the fall of the Taliban’s theocratic rule in the wake of the US-led intervention in October 2001, there has not been a degree of positive change in their lives that could help them maintain their initial optimism and support for their government and the international forces deployed in Afghanistan. The lure of the neo-Taliban has become stronger to many, particularly among the multi-cluster ethnic Pashtuns. The latter, to whose rival tribes both the neo-Taliban and Karzai (along with many of his cohorts) belong, is concentrated primarily in the provinces along the border with neighbouring Pakistan. The rest of the Afghan population is made up of non-Pashtun elements, and enjoy extensive cross-border ties with Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan to the north and Iran to the west. These elements have by and large remained aloof from the Pakistan-backed neo-Taliban–led insurgency. In effect, the conflict between the neo-Taliban and their associates from one side, and the Karzai government and the US and its allies from the other side, has essentially been grounded in an inter-Pashtun conflict.
If the continuation of the ‘war on terror’, of which the Afghan campaign is a critical part, is to be seen as reflecting the initial casus belli—the 11 September 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center towers in New York and the Pentagon in Washington, DC, which only cost around US$500,000 to execute, and on which Osama Bin Laden has seen a return of 2.17 million times his outlay—then it has been a most profitable venture.¹ After a decade of military operations and reconstruction efforts at the cost of the deaths of well over 2000 soldiers so far and spending of hundreds of billions of dollars, much of which seems to be lost or unaccounted for, the US and its allies are beset by a deep sense of fatigue, which is enforced by a precipitous decline in domestic public support for the Afghan war. President Barack Obama has now promised to start thinning out American forces from July 2011. Most other US allies, including Britain, which has the second-largest troop deployment, have pledged to do the same.
The US and its allies now face the same situation in Afghanistan as the Soviets did after their nine-year-long occupation of the country in the 1980s. They do not have a viable and effective Afghan partner on the ground, and are confronted with growing difficulties in selling their military involvement to their domestic publics, the Afghan population, and the international community. This is a development very much reminiscent of the problems that the Soviets faced in their occupation of Afghanistan, and the US in Vietnam.
The Afghanistan Conflict and Australia’s Role seeks to unpack the complexity of the Afghan conflict in both historical and contemporary terms, and to examine the part played by the US and its allies, more relevantly Australia, in the conflict. The book is divided into five parts.
The first part gives an overview of the current crisis in Afghanistan. In addition to addressing the major factors of instability in the country, such as poor governance, elite fragmentation, corruption, societal decline and a flawed international approach, it addresses counter-systemic actors such as the neo-Taliban and the need for an informed and consensus-based approach toward rebuilding, reform and reconciliation in Afghanistan.
The second part deals with strategy and insurgency. Nazif Shahrani provides an historical and constructionist approach towards understanding the current failed governance system in Afghanistan. He addresses the politicisation of ethnicity and Islam in Afghanistan by analysing the historical context of forced impositions and of inappropriate forms of tribalised and centralised state structures in the country. Shahrani highlights the necessity of moving away from the old dynastic person-centred model of sovereignty which has, for so long, dominated Afghan politics.
Hugh White looks at a strategic analysis of NATO and American strategy. Addressing both avowed and non-avowed Western objectives, White argues that the intervention in Afghanistan is a failure of conception rather than implementation. As such, the current solutions proffered by policy-makers towards the conflict will fail to have a lasting and successful impact on the situation on the ground. Unless the West is willing to consider more drastic and effective policies, the probability of success in Afghanistan remains very low.
Part three covers reconstruction. Showcasing the difficulty of prioritising, allocating and distributing aid in a country, which is oversupplied with ‘agents of reconstruction’ and which suffers from a troubled governance structure, William Maley discusses the difficulty of making things work in a fraught environment resulting from decades of conflict. He argues that the trust deficit which is growing between the state, international donors, non-governmental organisations and the civilian population can only be resolved by prioritising aid toward effective yet smaller-scale projects.
Mahmoud Saikal, on the other hand, provides a chapter regarding the Afghanistan National Development Strategy and its focus on the reconstruction and development of the new city of Kabul—Dehsabz. In outlining the challenges in the project, progress made thus far, and future plans for the city, he provides a realistic realisation of a rebuilt, vibrant yet humble capital for a stabilised Afghanistan.
Part four examines an often overlooked area in Afghanistan: gender and social issues. Beth Eggleston highlights the difficulty of both assessing and meeting the humanitarian and social requirements of the Afghan people, which are constantly underfunded in favour of military priorities. She argues that the complex interplay between the Afghan state, the International Security Assistance Force and the international civil society sector undermines the development prerogative in Afghanistan.
Virginia Haussegger addresses the progress, challenges, and obstacles faced by the women’s movement toward social justice in the country. While the plight of women has been utilised by all actors for political purposes, little achievement has been made on the ground. By showcasing the concerns of Afghan activists, and by addressing the complexities of the issues, Haussegger illuminates a critically vital reconciliation element in Afghanistan.
The final part deals with Australia’s role by looking at the Australian Government’s policy, media coverage and public opinion concerning the Afghan conflict. Mike Kelly and Mark Evans provide the Australian Government’s and the Australian Defence Force’s (ADF) perspective on Australia’s objectives and contributions in Afghanistan and, more specifically, the Oruzgan Province. From a journalist’s perspective, Tom Hyland addresses the dearth of media coverage and the consequent lack of public interest in Australia’s role in Afghanistan. Hyland argues that this insufficient coverage has been caused by both a reluctance of the ADF to be open and accessible, and the media’s failure to be on the ground in Afghanistan itself. Kevin Foster, building on Hyland’s chapter, analyses what he calls a ‘perfect model of public information’. He argues that the ADF, by and large through the acquiescence of the media, has run a systematised campaign in shaping public perception toward the war; academics and the media have failed to break through this model by not asking the necessary critical questions and by not raising awareness of those questions in the general Australian population.
Notes
1 Peter Hartcher, ‘Terrorists biggest bonus was gained when the US invaded Iraq’, Sydney Morning Herald, 14 September 2010.
Part I
A State in Limbo
Amin Saikal
Afghanistan is in a mess. So is the current US-led, population-centric counter-insurgency strategy in dealing with this mess. After ten years of US-led intervention, Afghanistan is still desperately in need of political reform, reconstruction, security and peace. The human sacrifices made by ordinary Afghans, the US forces and those of its NATO and non-NATO allies,