Where to Put Your Money NOW: How to Make Super-Safe Investments and Secure Your Future
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About this ebook
But in a time when the socks have been knocked off Wall Street, when the world's economy is taking a shocking battering, and when everybody seems to have a horror story about a neighbor or a friend, it's easy to start wondering if your savings will still be there when you need them.
Yes, you could spend hours combing magazines and websites, looking for advice that suits your situation. But what you need right now is trustworthy information, all in one place. And you need it to be short, easy to read, and free of all that banker jargon.
IF YOU WANT TO BE SURE YOUR MONEY STAYS SAFE...
...then rely on this all-new book from acclaimed financial author Peter Passell, Where to Put Your Money NOW. In this down-to-earth guide, you will discover:
Whether you really need to pay to have someone manage your money
Specific lists of funds and accounts you can trust
Reliable websites where you can learn more
A complete index to all the savings options in the book
Peter Passell
Peter Passell is a senior fellow at the Milken Institute (a non-partisan economic policy think tank in California) and the editor of the Milken Institute Review. He has taught economics at the graduate school at Columbia University; consulted to firms including Microsoft, verizon Wireless and Visa; written about economics for The New York Times and served on its editorial board; and analyzed public policy for other publications ranging from The Wall Street Journal to Le Monde.
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Where to Put Your Money NOW - Peter Passell
Where to Put Your Money Now
This publication contains the opinions and ideas of its author. It is sold with the understanding that neither the author nor the publisher is engaged in rendering legal, tax, investment, insurance, financial, accounting, or other professional advice or services. If the reader requires such advice or services, a competent professional should be consulted. Relevant laws vary from state to state. The strategies outlined in this book may not be suitable for every individual, and are not guaranteed or warranted to produce any particular results.
No warranty is made with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and both the author and the publisher specifically disclaim any responsibility for any liability, loss, or risk, personal or otherwise, which is incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, of the use and application of any of the contents of this book.
The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the Milken Institute.
Copyright © 2009 by Peter Passell
All rights reserved, including the right to reproduce this book or portions thereof in any form whatsoever. For information address Pocket Books Subsidiary Rights Department, 1230 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10020.
POCKET and colophon are registered trademarks of Simon & Schuster, Inc.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Passell, Peter.
Where to put your money now: how to make super-safe investments and secure your future/Peter Passell.
p. cm.
1. Investments. 2. Finance, Personal. I. Title.
HG4521.P363 2009
332.6—dc22
2008048421
ISBN-13: 978-1-4391-5594-3
ISBN-10: 1-4391-5594-1
Visit us on the World Wide Web:
http://www.SimonSays.com
CONTENTS
Introduction
What a difference a bubble can make. As recently as the spring of 2007, those nice folks in charge of Wall Street—the ones with $350 haircuts—were convinced they were the Masters of the Universe. Dozens of investment firms, some dating from the nineteenth century, were largely ignoring their traditional businesses, preferring instead to sell whiz-bang financial products cooked up by computer geeks. And why not? You didn’t have to burn the midnight oil for those profits—they just poured in!
Regulators sometimes frowned at the pace and complexity of the new business, one in which the dizzying electronic shuffle of complex financial contracts had largely replaced the more familiar task of issuing and trading stocks and bonds. But in an era in which the financial services industry was growing faster than any other in America and foreigners were paying homage by trusting Wall Street with trillions of their dollars, the underpaid lawyers in charge of securities law enforcement largely lacked the stomach to challenge the new practices.
Besides, Main Street got to go along for the ride. A select few were given the opportunity to entrust their savings to the self-described wizards who ran unregulated hedge funds
and watched the triple-digit returns—that’s right, 100 percent returns—roll in. Far more important, millions of middle-income Americans benefited indirectly, gaining unprecedented access to capital. Not so long ago, after all, banks were famous for lending only to people who didn’t need the money. Now they were tripping over each other to provide cash to any warm body inclined to buy a house.
The housing market, of course, was ground zero for the financing revolution. Can’t afford a down payment? You won’t need one if you’re willing to shell out a little more interest. Can’t afford the monthly payments? We’ll lend you the money anyway, as long as you just pretend you can pay. Hoping to get a better job next year? We’ll give you a teaser rate
that won’t ratchet up to market-rate interest for three years. And if you still can’t pay full freight in three years, we’ll be happy to refinance your mortgage after the house goes up in value.
Some of the people who couldn’t resist the pitches of the what-me-worry? mortgage brokers were the same sort who considered the Powerball lottery a prudent investment. But many were simply folks with modest incomes who never thought they could afford to buy a house within commuting distance of Los Angeles or Seattle or Miami, and were thrilled to be told otherwise.
Then, in the spring of 2006, the housing bubble began to leak. House prices had fallen before, and the world had pretty much stayed the same. But this time around, one financial institution after another teetered and fell in spite of the hesitant efforts of the federal government to contain the damage. By late in the summer of 2008, the nation’s financial markets were in gridlock.
As these words were being written, Washington was throwing money—a sum that could easily exceed $1 trillion—at the problem. And the best guess now is that almost unlimited cash and the political will to spend it on the bailout will prove sufficient to turn the corner. But that’s hardly the end of the story. Investors, especially the ones like you and me who lack golden parachutes or wads of hundred-dollar bills stashed in Swiss bank vaults, would be foolish to ignore the evidence that the safest of financial systems in the richest nation on earth can go south in a hurry. So all of us would do well to rethink the way we invest the savings needed for retirement or college bills—or, yes, even houses.
The first chapter of the book offers a bite-size explanation for the meltdown. No heavy lifting; no pop quiz at the end. However, if you’d like to cut to the chase, be my guest. Skip the analysis of what went wrong and go directly to chapter 2, where I lay out the broad implications of the panic for investors.
Or, if you’re really in a hurry, you can move right on to the practical advice in the rest of the book. Chapter 3 spells out the options for bulletproofing your savings, focusing on investments that eliminate all but the most remote chance of losing money. Chapter 4 offers choices for investors who are still prepared to accept some risk in return for a fighting chance to earn higher returns.
After sifting through the possible investments, of course, you’ll still need to decide on the right box to put them in. Chapter 5 describes the pros and cons of the myriad ways to take advantage of Uncle Sam’s desire that you save more for education or retirement.
While the advice in this book is up-to-the-minute as of publication, some of it has a short shelf life. So in chapter 6, I offer a short tour of Web sites that provide timely information—most of it for free.
Happy hunting.
ONE
What Went Wrong
Back when Americans listened to music recorded on vinyl and cars had tail fins, buying a house was straightforward—if not always easy. First you saved for a down payment, then went to a local bank or savings and loan to apply for a mortgage. The bank checked your income and credit records, verified that the down payment was ample to protect its investment in the unlikely event of a foreclosure, and provided the necessary cash from the savings deposits entrusted to it by your neighbors. What you saw was what you got: a mortgage with a fixed monthly payment that would be paid off twenty years down the road.
But big changes were coming—most of them built around the entry of Wall Street into the home mortgage market. Actually, the seeds of these changes had been planted decades earlier. The Federal National Mortgage Association (later to be dubbed Fannie Mae) had been created during the Depression to increase the availability of home loans for middle-income Americans. One way it did that was to create a secondary
market for mortgages, based in New York and Washington.
Why, you ask, would investors in some distant city be willing to buy mortgages on houses they had never seen that were owned by people whose names they didn’t know? Fannie Mae set broad minimum standards for mortgages based on the assessed value of the house, the size of the down payment, the credit rating of the borrowers—you get the idea. Then they bought thousands of mortgages that met their credit-quality standard and sold securities that represented claims on the interest and principle for tiny slices of each mortgage in the big pool. That made it possible for an insurance company in Omaha or a pension fund in Dallas to invest with confidence in, say, $10 million in ten thousand mortgages from California. Some of the mortgages might default, but the risk was predictable—and shared with others who had invested in the same pool.
This secondary market for mortgage-backed securities got a huge boost in 1968 when Fannie Mae was privatized—that is, sold to private investors—and it adopted policies designed to increase its profitability. The pace of expansion further accelerated when Congress created a second private government-sponsored organization,
the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), with the goal of giving Fannie Mae some competition.
Banks discovered they could make more money in originating mortgages than by owning them. They