It is possible to predict that KwaZulu- Natal (KZN) will become the signature of the 2024 national and provincial elections. It is the only province where four parties are in an intense battle and the provincial election’s outcome is exceptionally difficult to predict.
Symptomatic of the situation is the fact that the ANC, EFF and IFP launched their elections manifestos in the same stadium in KZN. South Africa’s electoral system of proportional party representation (with a minuscule independent component now also present) implies that the most populous provinces are also politically the most influential. As the second most populous one after Gauteng, it is therefore important how the elections in KZN are concluded.