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Forecasts are just guesses
It helps to remember that a forecast is just a prediction. No one knows the future; even though we have numerous models that are more precise than we’ve ever had, the old ‘five-day Biscay window’ rarely exists. These days, in particular, shifting weather systems and seasonal patterns are not as regular and predictable as they used to be. A weather forecast is no more real than the chart on your plotter screen.
Therefore, I find my own forecasting is increasingly important, and is a large part of the skipperly duties for which I am responsible. We need
