Each year, this Risk Report forecast predicts what the world should watch out for in the coming months. In 2023, the big stories centered on wars in Europe and the Middle East, and those conflicts will expand in 2024. But it’s a third “war”—the U.S. vs. itself—that poses the greatest global risk. And as always, there will be new stories that deserve more attention than they’re getting.
1. THE U.S. VS. ITSELF
While America’s military and economy remain exceptionally strong, the U.S. political system is more dysfunctional than any other advanced industrial democracy. In 2024 the problem will get much worse. The presidential election will deepen the country’s political
