The Independent

Voices: My crystal ball predicts one piece of bad news for Labour next year

Source: PA Archive

The general election will be on 24 October next year; Labour will win; and Keir Starmer’s honeymoon will be short. The Peter Mandelson Memorial Dim Sum Supper (more on this later) this week failed to make any shocking predictions about the year to come – although it was a remarkable turnaround from the predictions from last year.

Twelve months ago, a majority of those present forecast that Rishi Sunak would win the next general election. This year saw the return of the ritual self-flagellation, in which we process around the table hitting ourselves with napkins, that has marred so many of these gatherings in the past.

This annual exercise in futurology began on 23 December 1998, when I was dining with a group

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