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    The Theory of Hamas’s Catastrophic Success

    Both Hamas and Israel are making up strategies as they go.
    by Graeme Wood Nov 03, 2023 3 minutes
    Source: Avishag Shaar-Yashuv / The New York Times / Redux

    Updated at 9:50 a.m. ET on November 6, 2023

    Three days after Hamas’s attack on Israel, I called the operation a “catastrophic success.” Now Hamas itself is saying something similar. A strange report in Middle East Eye (a publication funded by Hamas-friendly Qatar) quotes Hamas leaders admitting that they intended to commit heinous war crimes, but not at this scale. Hamas “had in mind to take between 20 and 30 hostages,” a source told the reporter. “They had not bargained on the collapse of [Israel’s] Gaza Division. This produced a much bigger result.”

    By “bigger under the threshold of causing all-out war. That pattern keeps the geopolitical consequences manageable. Hamas’s attack crossed that line.

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