India Today

WHY IT’S HOLDING STEADY

On January 24, US-based shortseller Hindenburg Research set off a minor earthquake when it published a scathing report on one of India’s largest business groups, helmed by a businessman steadily climbing the world’s richest lists, the Ahmedabad-based Gautam Adani. Among its many accusations were manipulation of group companies stocks via shell firms in tax havens and accounting lapses. Coming shortly before Adani Enterprises’ planned launch of a follow-on public offer, the revelations triggered panic selling of the shares of the nine listed group companies, sending their prices crashing on the Indian bourses. It not only eroded as much as $120 billion (nearly Rs 10 lakh crore) in investor wealth but also half the market capitalisation of the companies in a matter of just a week. Although robust quarterly results of group firms and pre-payment of over $1 billion (nearly Rs 8,280 crore) to release pledged shares in three group firms—Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (APSEZ), Adani Green Energy and Adani Transmission—helped the group arrest the overall slide, the share prices of some of the companies continued to go downhill.

When a stock crisis of of 0.5 per cent in the benchmark Sensex, per data for two weeks of stock trade on BSE post the Hindenburg saga. This was contrary to how markets typically react when buffeted by such big events. For instance, when the dotcom bubble burst in 2000, Indian stock markets fell by 4.7 per cent in two weeks. The Ketan Parekh scam a year later, where the stockbroker was accused of manipulating the prices of select stocks, saw markets fall 13 per cent in a fortnight. In 2001, when the twin towers fell in New York, the markets fell 11.3 per cent in two weeks in India. The Nirav Modi scam in 2018 saw a nearly 3 per cent fall and the IL&FS crisis that year, where defaults by the infrastructure lender led to a domino effect in the sector, saw the market crashing 9.5 per cent in the fortnight that followed, per media reports (see ). By contrast, the BSE Sensex peaked to 61,319 on February 16, higher than the 60,978 points it was at on January 24.

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