The Atlantic

The World Could Be Entering a New Era of Climate War

Runaway climate change once seemed like it could spur violence. Now a different risk has emerged.
Source: AUL LOEB / AFP/ Getty

Back in 2015, when I started covering climate change, climate war meant one thing. At the time, if someone said that climate change posed a threat to the world order, you would assume they were talking about the direct impacts of warming, or its second-order consequences. Analysts and scholars worried over scenarios in which unprecedented droughts or city-destroying floods would prompt mass migrations, destabilizing the rich world or giving rise to far-right nationalism. Or they worried that a global famine could send food prices surging, triggering old-fashioned resource wars. Or they fretted over social science showing that weather fluctuations could lead to revolutions and civil wars.

The world of 2015 is not the world of 2022. Countries carbon pollution, Europe has its , and the United States somehow . What’s more, elected leaders have run on these policies and won. Thanks to a global turn away from coal power, the world will likely by the end of the century, .  

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