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  • Beijing Review

    FROM ONE TO THREE

    Apr 07, 2022 7 minutes
    By Ji Jing

    Xiong Yue has made up her mind not to have a second child. “It’s too energyconsuming and my family has reached a consensus not to have another kid,” the 33-year-old stay-at-home mother of a 2-year-old in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, told Beijing Review.

    Young people’s willingness to have children is declining in China. According to a press conference held by the National Health Commission in January, the number of children that the surveyed women of childbearing age planned to have on average was 1.76, 1.73, and 1.64 in 2017, 2019 and 2021, respectively.

    According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the number of newborns fell to 10.62 million in 2021, marking a decline for five consecutive years, and the birthrate was 7.52 per 1,000. Both the number of newborns and birth rate were the lowest since 1949.

    Total fertility rate (TFR)—the number of children per woman—fell to 1.47 in 2019 and 1.3 in 2020, below the warning line of 1.5. Demographers believe that once the TFR falls below 1.5, a country will fall into the low fertility trap and birth rates won’t easily rebound.

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