The Atlantic

Joe Biden’s Year Was Ruined. Whose Fault Is That?

The president doesn’t control the economy, and a lot of presidential politics is just plain dumb luck.
Source: Al Drago / Bloomberg / Getty

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Imagine it’s November 2020, and I offer you the following vision of Joe Biden’s first year in office:

Stocks will soar. Consumer-spending growth will set land-speed records, and the president will oversee the best labor market of this young century. Coming off a flash-freeze recession, the U.S. unemployment rate will dip under 5 percent, lower than it was in every month of 2016. Blessedly, pay is rising fastest for low-wage workers. The number of job openings will set an all-time record, making this year possibly the best for finding a new gig since

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