The Guardian

White men swung to Biden. Trump made gains with Black and Latino voters. Why? | Musa al-Gharbi

Minorities and women – the very people who are supposed to be central to the Democratic coalition – seem to have shifted in Trump’s direction this year
‘What changed in the racial and gender dynamics this cycle to produce these apparently extraordinary results?’ Photograph: Rebecca Blackwell/AP

The prevailing narrative of the last five years has been that Trump seized and maintains power by appealing to the desires of white voters and men (and especially, white men) to preserve the patriarchy and white supremacy. However, it seems difficult to square these talking points with the preliminary exit poll data from this year’s presidential race.

Let’s start with gender: across racial and ethnic groups, womenthis cycle. In the last election, Trump won white women by a margin of 9 percentage points. This year, he won by 11 percentage points. In 2016, Democrats won Hispanic and Latina women by 44 percentage points; in 2020 they won by 39. Last cycle, Democrats won black women by 90 percentage points. This year, by 81 points. That is, in a year when a black woman was on a major party

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