Nautilus

Behavioral Contagion Is Boosting Biden’s Presidential Prospects

That Trump’s ship is sinking is now a widespread public perception.Photograph by Gage Skidmore / Flickr

uring the pandemic, I’ve been participating in weekly Zoom calls with former Peace Corps Volunteers who served with me in Nepal during the late 1960s. As among so many of my other friends, there is high anxiety in this group about the election. During our early calls, prediction markets were pegging the United States presidential race as a near toss-up. That struck me as preposterous. As a behavioral economist who studies , I tried to explain why. As our conversations unfolded,

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