The Guardian

Why experts are questioning two hyped antibody studies in coronavirus hotspots

Investigations at California universities highlight challenges of research under pressure to provide quick answersCoronavirus – live US updatesLive global updatesSee all our coronavirus coverage
Health workers test for coronavirus in Los Angeles. A study in the county is drawing scrutiny from experts. Photograph: Kevin Winter/Getty Images

Two studies that estimate people have contracted Covid-19 in California hotspots at dozens of times the rate that current counts indicate have made headlines across the US. But the studieshave sparked a methodological dustup in the science world, raising questions about the statistical calculations and the real dangers of coronavirus.

The studies were published in the past week by Stanford University and the University of Southern Californiaand theyestimated how many people in Santa Clara and Los Angeles counties have contracted Covid-19 by examining the prevalence of antibodies in small samples of volunteers.

They were thefirst in what is expected to be a burgeoning field of researchas governments around the world explore when to ease stay-at-home orders. But their

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