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<em>The Atlantic</em> Politics Daily: How the Iowa Caucus Goes Haywire

What to expect in Iowa tonight: “They’re very nervous.” Plus: Nate Silver and polling in the time of 2016-election PTSD.

It’s Monday, February 3. A blizzard of a week will begin with the first votes of the 2020 presidential contest tonight, followed by the State of the Union, the final impeachment vote, and a Democratic debate in New Hampshire.

In the rest of today’s newsletter: What to expect in Iowa tonight. Plus: Nate Silver in the time of 2016-election PTSD.

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How the Iowa Caucus Goes Haywire

Though it may feel like the 2020 Democratic primary has been going on forever,

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