The Atlantic

Unpredictability Returns to the NBA

For the first time in years, nobody really knows what to expect.
Source: Jeff Chiu / AP

Back in 2012, the basketball writer Zach Lowe advanced what he called “.” It addressed the question of whether NBA teams, during the peak of LeBron James and Dwyane Wade’s Miami Heat squad, should wait out the superteam to acquire young players and time an upswing with Miami’s eventual decline. Lowe’s answer, sourced in part from leading NBA minds, was no. “If you’ve got even a 5 percent chance to win the title—and that group includes a very small number of teams every year—you’ve gotta be focused all on winning the title,” Daryl Morey, then known simply as the Houston Rockets’ bold and analytical

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